[continued from previous message] 
  
 that any country of Iran's size and level of development with a functioning 
 nuclear energy program ipso facto will beable to produce nuclear weapons at 
 some point. Doubtless, whatever the safeguards built in to the agreement 
 suspicions about Tehran's ultimate intentions will remain. On the other 
 hand, while the US and EU declare that they have no intention of attacking 
 Iran or trying to cripple it economically, Iran on the basis of its 
 experience with the US and its allies over the past 50 years, has even more 
 reason for suspicion. It will take a while for real mutual trust to be 
 established among the parties. 
  
 It is certainly in Iran's interest to show its willingness to enter into 
 the bruited regional security arrangement. The details of this will 
 probably be negotiated separately from the nuclear issue and most surely 
 will involve dealing with the Israeli question, especially the informal 
 alliance between Israel and the US which is at the root of the current 
 Middle Eastern problem. It is too much to expect that there will be any 
 real change in either Washington or Tel Aviv as a result of the EU-Iran 
 talks but merely openly addressing the Israel and US-Israel relationship 
 issues would be a positive step.. However, as things look now, one can be 
 optimistic that the Iranian nuclear crisis-whether real or contrived-will 
 be satisfactorily concluded. 
  
 [David MacMichael, a former analyst for the Central Intelligence Agency, is 
 a member of the steering committee of the Veteran Intelligence 
 Professionals for Sanity (VIPS).] 
  
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