HI folks   
   * Originally from weather1@hwn.org to richard webb.   
   * Original dated: Sun Jul 31, 16:53   
      
   COuld this be the answer to some prayers in the parched   
   southwest and south central states?   
      
   SPECIAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK   
   NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   
   455 PM EDT SUN JUL 31 2011   
      
   FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...   
      
   SPECIAL OUTLOOK ISSUED TO UPDATE DISCUSSION OF THE ELONGATED AREA OF LOW   
   PRESSURE APPROACHING THE LESSER ANTILLES.   
      
   UPDATED...COMMUNICATIONS PROBLEMS HAVE LIMITED THE AMOUNT OF DATA RECEIVED   
   FROM THE AIR FORCE RESERVE AIRCRAFT INVESTIGATING THE ELONGATED AREA OF LOW   
   PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 500 MILES EAST OF THE NORTHERN WINDWARD ISLANDS.    
   HOWEVER...REPORTS FROM THE AIRCRAFT   
   ...ALONG WITH SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS...INDICATE THAT THE   
   SYSTEM DOES NOT YET HAVE A WELL-DEFINED SURFACE   
   CIRCULATION.  A SECOND AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAS FORMED TO THE   
   WEST OF THE MAIN DISTURBANCE...AND WILL BRING LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND GUSTY   
   WINDS TO PORTIONS OF THE LESSER ANTILLES   
   TONIGHT.  CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR A   
   TROPICAL DEPRESSION OR TROPICAL STORM TO FORM...AND THIS SYSTEM HAS A HIGH   
   CHANCE...NEAR 100 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48   
   HOURS AS IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD NEAR 15 MPH.  IF THE SYSTEM BECOMES A   
   TROPICAL CYCLONE TONIGHT OR MONDAY   
   ...TROPICAL STORM WATCHES OR WARNINGS WOULD BE ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF THE   
   NORTHERN WINDWARD ISLANDS AND THE LEEWARD ISLANDS ON VERY SHORT NOTICE...AND   
   INTERESTS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.    
   ANOTHER HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS SCHEDULED TO INVESTIGATE THIS SYSTEM   
   MONDAY MORNING.   
      
   I hate to see those folks get pounded, but if it forms a   
   depression ahd the closed circulation maybe it will suck up   
   enough vapor to actually reach us here on the mainland.  A   
   buddy of mine that runs a fairly good sized cattle operation in central Texas   
   is crying for rain!   
      
      
   THought some of you folks lurking might find this   
   interesting.   
      
   Richard   
      
      
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    * Origin:  (1:116/901)