TZUTC: 0000   
   MSGID: 169643.weather@1:2320/105 2dfd080e   
   PID: Synchronet 3.21a-Linux master/123f2d28a Jul 12 2025 GCC 12.2.0   
   TID: SBBSecho 3.28-Linux master/123f2d28a Jul 12 2025 GCC 12.2.0   
   BBSID: CAPCITY2   
   CHRS: ASCII 1   
   FORMAT: flowed   
   ACUS11 KWNS 180408   
   SWOMCD   
   SPC MCD 180408=20   
   MNZ000-NDZ000-180815-   
      
   Mesoscale Discussion 0094   
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK   
   1008 PM CST Tue Feb 17 2026   
      
   Areas affected...portions of northeast North Dakota into northern   
   Minnesota   
      
   Concerning...Winter mixed precipitation=20   
      
   Valid 180408Z - 180815Z   
      
   SUMMARY...A wintry mix should continue to develop ahead of an   
   approaching precipitation band near the Canadian border. The best   
   chance for heavy snow (perhaps 1 inch/hour rates) will be across far   
   northeastern ND and northeastern MN tonight, especially after 06Z.   
      
   DISCUSSION...A 986 mb surface low over eastern SD should continue to   
   drift northward toward the Upper MS Valley and deepen further with   
   the eastward progression of a negatively tilted mid-level trough. As   
   this occurs, continued 850-700 mb warm air/moisture advection will   
   continue to fortify a primarily zonal arching band of mixed   
   precipitation, which should continue to steadily lift northward with   
   time. KMVX dual-polarimetric radar data depicts a likely mix of snow   
   and sleet just above the surface within the core of the   
   precipitation band. Meanwhile, surface observations depict snow as   
   the main precipitation type along the northern periphery of the   
   band. Strong easterly Surface-850 mb cold-air advection is underway   
   across northeastern MN, and this should support dynamic cooling of   
   the column along and just south of the Canadian border through   
   tonight. Furthermore, wet-bulb temperatures are at or below the   
   freezing mark to the south of 0C observed temperatures, suggesting   
   that latent cooling from precipitation may also contribute to   
   low-level tropospheric cooling.=20   
      
   Cold-air advection is and should remain strongest across   
   northeastern MN, where the best chance for heavy snow exists. Heavy   
   snow may also develop across portions of far northeastern ND. In   
   both areas, 1 inch/hr snowfall rates may occur, especially after 06Z   
   based on mesoanalysis/HRRR trends, which is in rough agreement with   
   00Z HREF ensemble probabilities.   
      
   ..Squitieri.. 02/18/2026   
      
   ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj=   
   g!9iPr81nBrv42NX857jdpu_FND3A90RoxdJ6Q0psdqDxdBJCGFD9Xhs7997SaoE71B9EtqBM8p=   
   DMmvB526ij53RfdsSE$  for graphic product...   
      
   ATTN...WFO...DLH...FGF...BIS...   
      
   LAT...LON   49059629 49009503 48829452 48709390 48669317 48569264   
               48289169 48239082 48118989 48048952 47898963 47609052   
               47149124 46909174 47009252 47539438 47989626 48149868   
               48210000 48450026 48710030 48910026 49019994 49059942   
               49049833 49059629=20   
      
      
   =3D =3D =3D   
   To unsubscribe from WX-STORM and you already have a login, go to   
   https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link.  Otherwise email   
   Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-STORM.   
      
   --- SBBSecho 3.28-Linux   
    * Origin: Capitol City Online (1:2320/105)   
   SEEN-BY: 1/19 100 16/0 19/10 37 104/119 105/81 106/201 114/10 120/302   
   SEEN-BY: 123/130 128/187 129/14 142/104 153/757 7715 154/10 30 50   
   SEEN-BY: 154/110 700 203/0 218/700 840 220/20 90 221/1 6 360 226/18   
   SEEN-BY: 226/20 30 44 50 227/114 229/110 134 206 300 307 317 400 426   
   SEEN-BY: 229/428 470 664 700 705 240/5832 266/512 280/5003 291/111   
   SEEN-BY: 301/1 320/119 219 319 2119 322/757 762 326/101 335/364 341/66   
   SEEN-BY: 342/200 396/45 423/81 460/58 633/280 712/848 902/26 2320/0   
   SEEN-BY: 2320/105 304 3634/12 5020/400 5075/35   
   PATH: 2320/105 154/10 221/6 1 320/219 229/426