TZUTC: 0000   
   MSGID: 169637.weather@1:2320/105 2dfcc522   
   PID: Synchronet 3.21a-Linux master/123f2d28a Jul 12 2025 GCC 12.2.0   
   TID: SBBSecho 3.28-Linux master/123f2d28a Jul 12 2025 GCC 12.2.0   
   BBSID: CAPCITY2   
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   FORMAT: flowed   
   ACUS11 KWNS 172323   
   SWOMCD   
   SPC MCD 172322=20   
   IAZ000-MOZ000-NEZ000-SDZ000-180015-   
      
   Mesoscale Discussion 0090   
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK   
   0522 PM CST Tue Feb 17 2026   
      
   Areas affected...portions of eastern Nebraska into central Iowa   
      
   Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely=20   
      
   Valid 172322Z - 180015Z   
      
   Probability of Watch Issuance...5 percent   
      
   SUMMARY...A couple of strong to severe gusts are possible with   
   high-based storms this evening and perhaps early tonight.   
      
   DISCUSSION...A mid-level impulse, embedded in broader upper   
   troughing, is overspreading the central Plains, resulting in the   
   gradual deepening of a surface low over eastern NE. Preceding   
   southerly flow just above the surface continues to increase in   
   magnitude, and RAP forecast soundings/short-term forecasts depict   
   over 50 kts of 925 mb flow poised to overspread far eastern NE into   
   central IA as the low-level jet intensifies. A shield of   
   high-based/low-topped convection is approaching from the west, and   
   will overspread a dry boundary layer over the next few hours. Some   
   of the stronger virga showers/possible thunderstorms will promote   
   enough evaporative cooling of the stronger flow just above the   
   surface, likely resulting in gusty conditions. Given the magnitude   
   of the flow just above the surface, it is plausible that damaging to   
   perhaps severe gusts could accompany the stronger showers this   
   evening.   
      
   The severe threat should remain sparse though, so a WW issuance is   
   not anticipated.   
      
   ..Squitieri/Hart.. 02/17/2026   
      
   ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj=   
   g!45jPY1UrG5ItM_qTEp9jIsUW9L0Ud-GyTG-n3nsI_ePFeDbvUBpVL7jVMNB6yIuy-iRQ6KB7I=   
   50NjfOA_E3SrVfuLUU$  for graphic product...   
      
   ATTN...WFO...DMX...EAX...FSD...OAX...GID...   
      
   LAT...LON   40429763 42049793 42389785 42709753 43099690 43329625   
               43389556 43339484 43119422 42729377 42229345 41719345   
               41179368 40669420 40359473 40169524 40089589 40069629   
               40089666 40169720 40429763=20   
      
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH   
      
      
   =3D =3D =3D   
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   --- SBBSecho 3.28-Linux   
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