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   TID: SBBSecho 3.28-Linux master/123f2d28a Jul 12 2025 GCC 12.2.0   
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   Day 3 Convective Outlook   
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK   
   0124 PM CST Sun Feb 15 2026   
      
   Valid 171200Z - 181200Z   
      
   ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...   
      
   ...SUMMARY...   
   Scattered thunderstorm activity is possible across Pacific coastal   
   areas and the Central Valley of California Tuesday into Tuesday   
   night, as well as across parts of the mid Missouri Valley into Upper   
   Midwest Tuesday night.  However, the risk for severe storms appears   
   low.   
      
   ...Discussion...   
   Continued cold air advection aloft over the relatively warm waters   
   of the eastern Pacific will continue to support thunderstorm   
   activity along the coastal areas on Tuesday from Oregon to southern   
   California. Thunderstorm activity may spread inland across central   
   California where some warming may lead to a pocket of greater   
   instability in the central Valley.   
      
   A large cyclone will emerge across the northern Plains on Tuesday.   
   Moisture will be somewhat limited given the cold front currently   
   scouring moisture across the Gulf. However, forecast guidance does   
   show sufficient moistening around 850mb to support some elevated   
   instability by Tuesday evening into early Wednesday. Given the   
   strong isentropic ascent, isolated to scattered thunderstorms will   
   be possible across the Upper Midwest starting Tuesday evening.   
   However, the limited moisture will keep instability weak.   
      
   ..Bentley.. 02/15/2026   
      
   $$   
      
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