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   PID: Synchronet 3.21a-Linux master/123f2d28a Jul 12 2025 GCC 12.2.0   
   TID: SBBSecho 3.28-Linux master/123f2d28a Jul 12 2025 GCC 12.2.0   
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   ACUS11 KWNS 151613   
   SWOMCD   
   SPC MCD 151612=20   
   GAZ000-FLZ000-151745-   
      
   Mesoscale Discussion 0085   
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK   
   1012 AM CST Sun Feb 15 2026   
      
   Areas affected...Parts of the FL Panhandle/Big Bend into southwest   
   GA   
      
   Concerning...Tornado Watch 8...   
      
   Valid 151612Z - 151745Z   
      
   The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 8 continues.   
      
   SUMMARY...Some increase in the damaging-wind and localized tornado   
   threat is expected into early afternoon.   
      
   DISCUSSION...A long-lived QLCS has intensified somewhat this morning   
   over the FL Panhandle and adjacent coastal waters, with deeper   
   updrafts and an increase in lightning activity noted over the last   
   2-3 hours. This QLCS will continue to move eastward into early   
   afternoon, in advance of a deep-layer cyclone moving across   
   central/northern MS/AL.=20   
      
   While the primary cyclone is forecast to gradually weaken through   
   the day, low-level and deep-layer shear are expected to remain   
   strong across the warm sector into this afternoon. Inland buoyancy   
   is currently weak (with MLCAPE of near/below 500 J/kg), but some   
   additional destabilization is expected with time from the FL   
   Panhandle/Big Bend into southwest GA, due to filtered heating and   
   continued low-level moisture transport. The strong flow and   
   effective SRH of 200-400 m2/s2 will continue to support potential   
   for persistent bowing segments and embedded mesovortices, with an   
   attendant threat of strong/damaging gusts and a couple tornadoes.   
      
   ..Dean.. 02/15/2026   
      
   ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj=   
   g!8lXwoJ3cBmEgPIVpf5eaZ2u1VH1M--Cvbxe4-SBuAZ1r9maJW3BbSqMdCRpSjxpfkQod9Scpr=   
   zr-RaQ5vIyRO0yJbOI$  for graphic product...   
      
   ATTN...WFO...JAX...TAE...   
      
   LAT...LON   30158523 30888473 31388437 31758394 31688332 31448313   
               30768313 29718336 29688421 29378505 29578541 30158523=20   
      
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...85-115 MPH   
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH   
      
      
   =3D =3D =3D   
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   --- SBBSecho 3.28-Linux   
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