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   TID: SBBSecho 3.28-Linux master/123f2d28a Jul 12 2025 GCC 12.2.0   
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   654    
   AXNT20 KNHC 151026   
   TWDAT    
      
   Tropical Weather Discussion   
   NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL   
   1215 UTC Sun Feb 15 2026   
      
   Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America   
   Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South   
   America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the   
   Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite   
   imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.   
      
   Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 1000 UTC.   
      
   ...SPECIAL FEATURES...   
      
   Eastern Atlantic Gale Warning:    
   Meteo-France has issued a Gale Warning for their Agadir, Tarfaya,   
   and Canarias Marine Zones, all of which are valid through at least   
   15/12 UTC. For more details, please refer to the Meteo-France    
   High Seas Forecast listed on their website:   
   http://www.meteofrance.com/previsions-meteo-marine/bulletin/grandlarge/metarea2   
      
   ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...   
      
   The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 10N14W to 04N19W. The   
   ITCZ continues from 04N19W through 02N30W to north of Sao Luis,    
   Brazil at 01N45W. Scattered moderate to isolated strong    
   convection is noted along the ITCZ between 20W and 37W.   
      
   ...GULF OF MEXICO...   
      
   A pre-frontal trough has entered the NW Gulf, enhancing scattered   
   moderate convection N of 28N between 87W-91W. Otherwise, a broad    
   surface ridge extending southwestward from central Florida to    
   south of Tampico, Mexico dominates the area. Fresh to near-gale    
   southerly return flow and moderate seas prevail over the    
   northwestern waters. Strong S to SW winds and moderate seas are    
   noted across the central Gulf waters. Light to gentle winds and   
   slight seas prevail across the northern portion of the Bay of   
   Campeche.   
      
   For the forecast, the fresh to near-gale southerly winds and    
   moderate seas will prevail over the northwestern waters ahead of    
   a cold front that will enter the NW Gulf waters by tonight. As    
   the front moves across the basin, rough seas will develop across    
   the northern Gulf today. The front is forecast to move SE of the    
   area by Mon afternoon, with winds and seas decreasing. High pres    
   will build in the wake of the front. Gentle to moderate winds with   
   slight to moderate seas will prevail by midweek.    
      
   ...CARIBBEAN SEA...    
      
   A surface trough extends from Haiti to 15N75W. A trade-wind    
   regime persist for the rest of the Caribbean Sea. Fresh to strong    
   NE winds and rough seas are present off northwestern Colombia,    
   south of the Dominican Republic and near the Windward Passage.    
   Fresh to strong ENE winds and moderate seas are found at the lee    
   of Cuba. Gentle to moderate winds and moderate seas prevail elsewhere.   
      
   For the forecast, pulsing strong NE winds will prevail near the    
   coast of Colombia through the forecast period. Moderate to rough    
   seas are expected with these winds. Strong winds will also pulse    
   over the Windward Passage and S of the Dominican Republic today as   
   a high pressure center passing N of the area maintains a tight    
   pressure gradient. Elsewhere, moderate to fresh trades and    
   moderate seas will prevail through the middle of next week, except   
   for light to gentle winds over the NW Caribbean.   
      
   ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...   
      
   A cold front curves southwestward from the north-central Atlantic   
   through 31N48W to 23N56W, then continues as a stationary to the    
   Dominican Republic. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms    
   are noted up to 80 nm along either side of the cold front. A 1024   
   mb high off the Georgia/South Carolina coast is supporting gentle   
   to moderate NE to SE winds with moderate seas north of 26N and    
   west of 50W. To the south, moderate to fresh NE winds and moderate    
   seas from 20N to 26N and west of 55W, including the central and    
   southeast Bahamas. Between 50W/55W and 35W, and north of 20N,    
   moderate with fresh SE to S winds and rough seas in mixed    
   moderate to large swells exist. For the tropical Atlantic from the   
   Equator to 20N between 35W and the Lesser Antilles, gentle to    
   moderate ENE to SE winds and moderate seas prevail.   
      
   For the forecast west of 55W, high pressure will continue to    
   build in the wake of the central Atlantic front. S winds will    
   strengthen offshore north and central Florida today in advance of   
   a cold front that will move off the SE U.S. coast on Mon. The    
   cold front will shift eastward over the forecast waters, moving    
   east of the area the middle of next week. Fresh to strong NE winds   
   and building seas are expected in the wake of the front. These    
   winds will diminish by the middle of next week, with rough seas    
   lingering E of 60W.    
      
   $$   
   ERA   
   --- SBBSecho 3.28-Linux   
    * Origin: Capitol City Online (1:2320/105)   
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