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   ACUS11 KWNS 150444   
   SWOMCD   
   SPC MCD 150443=20   
   ALZ000-MSZ000-LAZ000-150645-   
      
   Mesoscale Discussion 0081   
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK   
   1043 PM CST Sat Feb 14 2026   
      
   Areas affected...Parts of southern LA...southern MS...and far   
   southwestern AL   
      
   Concerning...Tornado Watch 6...   
      
   Valid 150443Z - 150645Z   
      
   The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 6 continues.   
      
   SUMMARY...A heightened tornado risk is evident over parts of   
   southern Louisiana into southwestern Mississippi in the near term --   
   within Tornado Watch #6. A downstream tornado watch will be issued   
   within an hour.   
      
   DISCUSSION...A squall line with embedded mesovorticies and supercell   
   structures is tracking eastward across southern LA and southwestern   
   MS tonight. The line is impinging on a corridor of middle/upper 60s   
   dewpoints, which is yielding weakly unstable inflow for these   
   storms. However, the low-level mass response accompanying an   
   approaching midlevel trough continues to favor a 40-50 kt low-level   
   jet and ample low-level hodograph curvature (around 350-400 m2/s2   
   0-1 km SRH per regional VWP). Given the well-established line of   
   storms and this enhanced low-level helicity, a corridor of   
   heightened tornado potential is evident across parts of southern LA   
   into southwestern MS in the near term, and a strong tornado cannot   
   be entirely ruled out.=20   
      
   Thereafter, the squall line will continue eastward along a   
   progressive cold front moving across southeastern LA, southern MS,   
   and far southwestern AL -- where sufficient boundary-layer moisture   
   and strong low/deep-layer shear will support a continued risk of   
   damaging wind gusts and a couple tornadoes. A downstream tornado   
   watch will be issued within an hour for this threat.   
      
   ..Weinman/Hart.. 02/15/2026   
      
   ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj=   
   g!6V7wMSV_00zeKRZ5kguVjytqJ4B8jcL9CRfF1DvGpGkKqQsnDpF_lUeeKAlO2XzAM10_cm036=   
   DbqFGcUW-TxEf8GA9Y$  for graphic product...   
      
   ATTN...WFO...MOB...JAN...LIX...LCH...   
      
   LAT...LON   29919212 30759176 31609125 31909026 31918920 31678840   
               31288789 30708778 30158795 29168882 29008914 28888979   
               28959113 29419208 29919212=20   
      
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...100-130 MPH   
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH   
      
      
   =3D =3D =3D   
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