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   764    
   AXNT20 KNHC 141018   
   TWDAT   
      
   Tropical Weather Discussion   
   NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL   
   1215 UTC Sat Feb 14 2026   
      
   Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America   
   Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South   
   America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the   
   Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite   
   imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.   
      
   Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 1000 UTC.   
      
   ...SPECIAL FEATURES...   
      
   Eastern Atlantic Gale Waring:     
   Meteo-France has issued a Gale Warning for their Agadir and   
   Tarfaya Marine Zones starting 14/12 UTC. For more details, please   
   refer to the Meteo-France High Seas Forecast listed on their    
   website:   
      
   http://www.meteofrance.com/previsions-meteo-marine/bulletin/grandlarge/metarea2   
      
   ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...   
      
   The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 10N14W to 04N19W.    
   The ITCZ continues from that point to 02S44W. Scattered moderate    
   convection is noted along the ITCZ.   
      
   ...GULF OF MEXICO...   
      
   A weakening stationary front meanders northwestward from southern    
   Florida to beyond New Orleans, Louisiana. Latest observations    
   along with composite satellite imagery reveal patchy dense fog is    
   present near northern Yucatan Peninsula, Naples Florida and along    
   the Texas/Louisiana coast. Moderate to fresh NE to SE winds and    
   seas of 3 to 5 ft are seen across the western Gulf, including the    
   Bay of Campeche. Gentle to moderate NNE to E winds and 1 to 3 ft    
   seas prevail for the central and eastern Gulf.   
      
   For the forecast, a weak pressure pattern will support light to gentle   
   winds across much of the Gulf, with the exception of moderate   
   winds across the western Gulf. Southerly return flow will   
   increase to fresh to strong speeds today ahead of a cold front    
   that will enter the Gulf waters this weekend. Strong S to SW winds   
   and rough seas are expected in the N-central and NE Gulf with    
   this frontal system on Sun. The front is forecast to move SE of    
   the area by Mon. High pres will build in the wake of the front.   
      
   ...CARIBBEAN SEA...    
      
   A broad surface trough is generating scattered showers near   
   Hispaniola. Otherwise, a modest trade-wind regime persists across   
   much of the Caribbean Sea. Fresh to strong NE winds and 6 to 7 ft   
   seas are evident off northwestern Colombia. Moderate to fresh NE    
   to E winds and seas of 4 to 6 ft dominate the southeastern and    
   rest of the south-central basin, including the ABC Islands.    
   Moderate with fresh NE winds and seas at 3 to 5 ft are noted at    
   the lee of Cuba and Windward Passage. Mostly gentle NE to E winds    
   and 2 to 5 ft seas prevail the rest of the Caribbean Sea.   
      
   For the forecast, pulsing strong NE winds will prevail near the coast   
   of Colombia through the forecast period. Moderate to rough seas   
   are expected with these winds. Strong winds will develop over   
   the Windward Passage and S of Dominican Republic this weekend as   
   a high pressure center passes N of the area and tightens the   
   pressure gradient. Elsewhere, moderate to fresh trades and   
   moderate seas will prevail through early next week.    
      
   ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...   
      
   A cold front extends southwestward from the north-central Atlantic   
   across 31N54W to 25N72W, then continues westward as a stationary   
   front to beyond the central Bahamas. Scattered showers are present   
   near and up to 100 nm northwest of the front. Farther east,    
   convergent southerly winds are generating scattered moderate    
   convection N of 22N between 47W and 61W. Near and north of the    
   Mona Passage, a surface trough is causing scattered showers and    
   isolated thunderstorms.    
      
   For the western Atlantic north of 20N between 55W and the    
   Florida/southern Georgia coast, gentle to moderate SW to NW to NE   
   winds with 5 to 7 ft seas are evident. To the east, moderate to    
   fresh E to SSE winds and seas of 8 to 10 ft dominate north of 27N   
   between 44W and 63W. For the tropical Atlantic from the Equator    
   to 20N between 35W and the Lesser Antilles, gentle to moderate NE    
   to ESE winds and seas at 6 to 8 ft prevail.   
      
   For the forecast west of 55W, the aforementioned cold front will    
   shift eastward with high pressure building in the wake of the    
   front. S winds will strengthen offshore north and central Florida    
   on Sun in advance of another cold front that will move off the SE    
   U.S. coast on Mon. Fresh to strong NE winds and building seas are    
   expected in the wake of the front.   
      
   $$   
   ERA   
   --- SBBSecho 3.28-Linux   
    * Origin: Capitol City Online (1:2320/105)   
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