TZUTC: 0000   
   MSGID: 169494.weather@1:2320/105 2df7c24e   
   PID: Synchronet 3.21a-Linux master/123f2d28a Jul 12 2025 GCC 12.2.0   
   TID: SBBSecho 3.28-Linux master/123f2d28a Jul 12 2025 GCC 12.2.0   
   BBSID: CAPCITY2   
   CHRS: ASCII 1   
   FORMAT: flowed   
   ACUS11 KWNS 140412   
   SWOMCD   
   SPC MCD 140411=20   
   OKZ000-TXZ000-140645-   
      
   Mesoscale Discussion 0072   
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK   
   1011 PM CST Fri Feb 13 2026   
      
   Areas affected...West and Northwest Texas...Western Oklahoma   
      
   Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely=20   
      
   Valid 140411Z - 140645Z   
      
   Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent   
      
   SUMMARY...Isolated severe wind gusts and hail will be possible over   
   the next few hours across parts of west and northwest Texas into   
   western Oklahoma.   
      
   DISCUSSION...The latest mosaic radar imagery shows a   
   southwest-to-northeast corridor of scattered thunderstorm   
   development from west Texas into western Oklahoma. This activity is   
   being supported by warm advection and by large-scale ascent within   
   southwesterly mid-level flow. The storms are located near an axis of   
   weak instability, where the RAP has SBCAPE generally less than 500   
   J/kg. The RAP is also analyzing a 70 to 80 knot mid-level jet from   
   southeast New Mexico into southwest Oklahoma. This feature is   
   creating strong deep-layer shear over most of the southern High   
   Plains, which will continue to be favorable for a marginal severe   
   threat late this evening into the early overnight period. Isolated   
   severe wind gusts and hail will be the primary threats.   
      
   ..Broyles/Hart.. 02/14/2026   
      
   ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj=   
   g!7LDbBvBBq7OhTL6hu9AcSB3ib7VVs4Ybf1Kf05Vu0nkkUAY78Mknmq7olIff0YVDMAdv7nq0P=   
   CtiQZ9mTlNqOArI_Bg$  for graphic product...   
      
   ATTN...WFO...OUN...SJT...LUB...AMA...MAF...   
      
   LAT...LON   35629966 36219892 36359857 36279816 36109794 35699782   
               35179794 34269870 33329961 31870121 31580159 31390194   
               31350239 31500280 31750296 32200298 32880240 34740053   
               35629966=20   
      
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...UP TO 60 MPH   
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN   
      
      
   =3D =3D =3D   
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   --- SBBSecho 3.28-Linux   
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