TZUTC: 0000   
   MSGID: 169492.weather@1:2320/105 2df79498   
   PID: Synchronet 3.21a-Linux master/123f2d28a Jul 12 2025 GCC 12.2.0   
   TID: SBBSecho 3.28-Linux master/123f2d28a Jul 12 2025 GCC 12.2.0   
   BBSID: CAPCITY2   
   CHRS: ASCII 1   
   FORMAT: flowed   
   ACUS01 KWNS 140057   
   SWODY1   
   SPC AC 140056   
      
   Day 1 Convective Outlook   
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK   
   0656 PM CST Fri Feb 13 2026   
      
   Valid 140100Z - 141200Z   
      
   ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM WEST TX TO   
   SOUTHEAST KS...   
      
   ...SUMMARY...   
   Isolated, marginally severe hail and wind are possible tonight   
   through Saturday morning across parts of the southern Great Plains.   
      
   ...Southern Great Plains...   
   Forecast largely remains as advertised with a corridor of generally   
   marginal severe hail and wind potential from parts of west TX to   
   southeast KS. See MCD 0071 for short-term discussion across the TX   
   South Plains. Overall severe threat might increase overnight as an   
   expanding swath of storms occurs with strengthening large-scale   
   ascent downstream of the positive-tilt shortwave trough over the   
   Desert Southwest. Some models, most notably recent HRRR runs, are   
   insistent on a meso-beta corridor of sustained storm structures   
   developing in the pre-dawn hours in the Permian Basin vicinity of   
   west TX. The 00Z MAF observed sounding confirmed a robust speed   
   shear profile above 800 mb, which is expected to remain   
   conditionally conducive to a couple mid-level supercells capable of   
   large hail through early morning. However, the influx of low-level   
   moisture from the south will remain modest and limit available   
   buoyancy. In addition, storm mode should remain cluster-dominated,   
   eventually evolving into a linear structure by 12Z towards the TX   
   Big Country. These factors may curtail greater severe hail coverage   
   overnight.   
      
   ..Grams.. 02/14/2026   
      
   $$   
      
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