TZUTC: 0000   
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   PID: Synchronet 3.21a-Linux master/123f2d28a Jul 12 2025 GCC 12.2.0   
   TID: SBBSecho 3.28-Linux master/123f2d28a Jul 12 2025 GCC 12.2.0   
   BBSID: CAPCITY2   
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   FORMAT: flowed   
   ACUS03 KWNS 131927   
   SWODY3   
   SPC AC 131926   
      
   Day 3 Convective Outlook   
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK   
   0126 PM CST Fri Feb 13 2026   
      
   Valid 151200Z - 161200Z   
      
   ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF   
   THE SOUTHEAST AND EASTERN GULF COAST VICINITY...   
      
   ...SUMMARY...   
   Strong thunderstorm development, accompanied by at least some risk   
   for severe weather, may continue through the day into Sunday night   
   across parts of the Southeast and eastern Gulf Coast region.   
      
   ...Parts of the Southeast/Gulf Coast...   
   No major changes have been made to the Marginal Risk area.   
      
   A QLCS may be ongoing Sunday morning from southeast LA into southern   
   MS and far southwest AL, as an initially vigorous mid/upper-level   
   trough/low and surface cyclone move eastward across a gradually   
   moistening environment. Some threat for locally damaging wind and a   
   brief tornado may accompany this QLCS Sunday morning, though scant   
   buoyancy and a tendency towards gradual dampening of the primary   
   shortwave trough and surface cyclone may result in a weakening trend   
   with the initial QLCS.   
      
   Despite the expected weakening trend, deep-layer flow/shear across   
   the warm sector will remain favorable for organized convection, and   
   continued low-level moistening may allow for deep convection to   
   redevelop near the Gulf Coast. Destabilization will likely remain   
   limited, but if sufficient buoyancy can be maintained, then some   
   threat for locally damaging wind and/or a tornado could evolve   
   across south AL/GA and the FL Panhandle into the afternoon, and   
   potentially spread into parts of the FL Peninsula by Sunday night.   
      
   Another area of storm redevelopment may evolve across parts of MS/AL   
   during the afternoon and evening, in association with the primary   
   midlevel low. The extent of recovery in the wake of the morning QLCS   
   remains uncertain, but cooling temperatures aloft could support   
   development of a few strong storms and potentially an isolated   
   severe threat.   
      
   ..Dean.. 02/13/2026   
      
   $$   
      
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