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   PID: Synchronet 3.21a-Linux master/123f2d28a Jul 12 2025 GCC 12.2.0   
   TID: SBBSecho 3.28-Linux master/123f2d28a Jul 12 2025 GCC 12.2.0   
   BBSID: CAPCITY2   
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   ACUS48 KWNS 120908   
   SWOD48   
   SPC AC 120906   
      
   Day 4-8 Convective Outlook   
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK   
   0306 AM CST Thu Feb 12 2026   
      
   Valid 151200Z - 201200Z   
      
   ...DISCUSSION...   
   ...Day 4/Sun -- Deep South/Southeast...   
      
   An upper trough will move across the Deep South and Southeast on Day   
   4/Sun. Strong deep-layer southwesterly flow atop a modestly moist   
   boundary layer will support weak destabilization, though how much   
   remains uncertain as ongoing convection and cloud cover could limit   
   instability. Some risk for strong to isolated severe storms seems   
   most likely from southern AL/GA into parts of FL as surface low and   
   trailing cold front move across the region. However, overall risk   
   appears limited by modest thermodynamics and possible widespread   
   heavy rain.   
      
   ...Days 5-8...   
      
   On Days 5-6/Mon-Tue, upper level ridging is forecast to spread east   
   from the Plains to the Midwest and eastern U.S. By Midweek, medium   
   range guidance generally depicts upper level troughing spreading   
   across the western U.S. and at least some potential for upper   
   shortwave trough ejection into parts of the central U.S. However,   
   forecast spread is large beyond Day 6/Tue. Trends suggest some   
   increase in thunderstorm potential could develop toward the end of   
   the forecast period somewhere in the central U.S./Midwest vicinity,   
   but predictability is low.   
      
   ..Leitman.. 02/12/2026   
      
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