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   PID: Synchronet 3.21a-Linux master/123f2d28a Jul 12 2025 GCC 12.2.0   
   TID: SBBSecho 3.28-Linux master/123f2d28a Jul 12 2025 GCC 12.2.0   
   BBSID: CAPCITY2   
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   ACUS02 KWNS 111717   
   SWODY2   
   SPC AC 111716   
      
   Day 2 Convective Outlook   
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK   
   1116 AM CST Wed Feb 11 2026   
      
   Valid 121200Z - 131200Z   
      
   ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...   
      
   ...SUMMARY...   
   Severe thunderstorms are not expected on Thursday.   
      
   ...Synopsis...   
   A deep, positively tilted upper trough is expected to extend from   
   the northern Intermountain West southwestward off the central CA   
   Coast and into the eastern Pacific early Thursday. This trough is   
   forecast to progress slowly southeastward throughout the day, while   
   trending towards a more neutral tilt as a strong shortwave trough   
   rounds its base. Another embedded shortwave trough is expected to   
   move southward along the central CA coast before pivoting more   
   southeastward towards southern CA late Thursday/early Friday.   
   Overall evolution of this system will likely result in troughing   
   from the western Great Basin into the west-central Pacific by 12Z   
   Friday.   
      
   Cooling mid-level temperatures are expected from the Great Basin   
   into the central Rockies downstream of this deepening trough.   
   Additionally, persistent southwesterly flow aloft will contribute to   
   some low-level moistening beneath these cooling mid-level   
   temperatures. Combination of these factors will result in modest   
   buoyancy and deep/persistent enough updrafts for isolated lightning   
   flashes. Highest coverage is expected across north-central UT.   
      
   Surface ridging is expected across much of the central and eastern   
   CONUS early Thursday, although a weak surface low will likely be   
   over southeast CO. This low may deepen slightly throughout the day   
   while also dropping gradually southward in northeast NM and the   
   northwest TX Panhandle. Some modest moisture return is anticipated   
   east/southeast of this low across central/east TX and the Lower MS   
   Valley, with low 60s dewpoints forecast along the TX Gulf Coast by   
   Friday morning. However, warm temperatures aloft will preclude deep   
   convection within this modifying airmass.   
      
   ..Mosier.. 02/11/2026   
      
   $$   
      
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