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   382    
   AXNT20 KNHC 101010   
   TWDAT    
      
   Tropical Weather Discussion   
   NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL   
   1215 UTC Tue Feb 10 2026   
      
   Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America   
   Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South   
   America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the   
   Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite   
   imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.   
      
   Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 0930 UTC.   
      
   ...SPECIAL FEATURES...   
      
   Central Atlantic Gale Warning and Significant Swell: A 994 mb low   
   pressure is centered well NE of Bermuda near 38N51W. The gradient   
   between this low and a 1026 mb high pressure moving E just N of   
   the NW Bahamas is supporting gale-force WNW winds N of 30N   
   between 47W and 56W. Fresh to strong W winds extend southward to   
   28N from 32W and 65W. Gales will end this morning, and the fresh   
   to strong winds will diminish into tonight, as the low pressure to   
   the north weakens and moves farther from the area. An extensive   
   area of very rough seas in NW to N well remains over the waters N   
   of 18N between 28W and 68W, with peak seas around 24 ft near   
   30N50W. These seas will only slowly decay from W to E, finally   
   falling below 12 ft for most areas by Wed night. Mariners are    
   urged to stay up to date with the latest forecasts.   
      
   South-Central Caribbean Gale Warning: High pressure building   
   southeastward across the western Atlantic and northern Caribbean    
   will tighten the pressure gradient across the basin. This will   
   result in strong NE winds over the central and SW Caribbean, with   
   winds pulsing to gale-force offshore Colombia tonight and again    
   Wed night. Seas will build to 11 ft in association with these    
   gales.   
      
   Please read the latest High Seas and Offshore Waters Forecasts    
   issued by the National Hurricane Center at website:   
   https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml  and   
   https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/offshores.php   
     for more details on these events.   
      
   ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...   
      
   The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of    
   Liberia near 06N10W to 02N29W. The ITCZ continues from 02N30W to    
   00N42W. Scattered moderate convection extends from 00N to 06N    
   between 08W and 33W and from 00N to 04N between 37W and 42W.    
      
   ...GULF OF MEXICO...   
      
   A surface ridge extends across the Gulf, anchored by a 1026 mb    
   high pressure centered over Georgia. This pattern is maintaining   
   mainly gentle SE winds, except for some moderate to locally fresh   
   S winds off NE Mexico and southern Texas. Seas are 1 to 2 ft in   
   the NE Gulf, 2 to 4 ft elsewhere.   
      
   For the forecast, high pressure will generally dominate Gulf    
   waters through late week, bringing a gentle to moderate mainly    
   southerly flow. Locally fresh winds are expected today and tonight   
   just west of the Yucatan Peninsula and over the far western    
   waters. Slight to moderate seas will prevail. Looking ahead,    
   southerly winds may increase this weekend ahead of an approaching cold front.   
      
   ...CARIBBEAN SEA...    
      
   See Special Features section above for information on a Gale   
   Warning in effect for waters offshore Colombia.   
      
   High pressure N of the area is building southeastward toward the    
   Caribbean, which is increasing NE winds over much of the basin to    
   fresh to strong speeds. Seas are mainly 5 to 7 ft, although rough   
   seas are occurring in the SW basin offshore Colombia, S of   
   Hispaniola, and through Atlantic passages from the Mona Passage eastward.   
      
   For the forecast, the pressure gradient between high pressure    
   over the western Atlantic and the Colombian/Panamanian low will    
   support fresh to strong winds across most of the central    
   Caribbean, including the Windward Passage, and the waters between    
   Cuba and Jamaica into Wed night. Winds will pulse to gale-force    
   tonight and again Wed night offshore Colombia. Meanwhile, large NW   
   to N swell will impact the Mona Passage, Anegada Passage, and    
   tropical N Atlantic waters into Wed creating hazardous marine conditions.   
      
   ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...   
      
   Please see the Special Features section for details on a gale    
   warning and significant swell in the central Atlantic.   
      
   Hazardous marine conditions dominate much of the central   
   subtropical basin, as described in the Special Features section,    
   in association with a large and deep low pressure system moving    
   northeastward across the northwest Atlantic. A stationary front   
   extends from 31N39W to the northern Leeward Islands, separating a   
   pair of 1025 mb high pressure centers, one just N of the NW   
   Bahamas and the other over the Canary Islands. Winds are moderate   
   or less, with moderate seas outside of the Special Features area,   
   except for a belt of moderate to fresh trades that exist south of   
   a line from the Canary Islands to the Windward Islands.   
      
   For the forecast west of 55W, near gale-force winds in the far NE   
   waters will gradually diminish into tonight as high pressure    
   moves eastward across the waters. On the west side of the high,    
   southwesterly winds will increase over the NW waters starting    
   tonight, then reach strong speeds Wed, with seas building to rough   
   N of 28N. These winds will prevail over northern waters through    
   Wed night, before shifting to strong NW as a cold front crosses    
   the waters into Thu. Very rough seas in NW to N swell E of 67W    
   will gradually decay below 12 ft from W to E today and tonight,    
   with improved seas by Wed. Peak seas this morning SE of Bermuda    
   along 31N will be as high as 18 ft.    
      
   $$   
   Konarik   
   --- SBBSecho 3.28-Linux   
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