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   PID: Synchronet 3.21a-Linux master/123f2d28a Jul 12 2025 GCC 12.2.0   
   TID: SBBSecho 3.28-Linux master/123f2d28a Jul 12 2025 GCC 12.2.0   
   BBSID: CAPCITY2   
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   ACUS01 KWNS 101258   
   SWODY1   
   SPC AC 101256   
      
   Day 1 Convective Outlook   
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK   
   0656 AM CST Tue Feb 10 2026   
      
   Valid 101300Z - 111200Z   
      
   ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...   
      
   ...SUMMARY...   
   Severe thunderstorms are not expected today through tonight.   
      
   ...Synopsis...   
   12 UTC surface observations depict a southward advancing cold front   
   draped from the upper Great Lakes region into the southern Plains.   
   Aloft, an upper wave is forecast to amplify across the Great Lakes   
   region in response to the southward push of an arctic air mass   
   behind the front, while a low-amplitude upper disturbance over   
   northern Mexico migrates eastward along the Gulf coast. Along the   
   West Coast, cold mid-level temperatures associated with an upper   
   trough will overspread central CA through tonight.   
      
   ...Big Bend region of TX and portions of the OH Valley...   
   The combination of increasing ascent along the front and ahead of   
   the upper waves should promote increasing showers from the OH Valley   
   southwestward into the Big Bend region of TX. While buoyancy   
   profiles will remain fairly modest along and ahead of the frontal   
   zone due to warm mid-level temperatures (as noted in 12 UTC RAOBs),   
   temperatures aloft should be sufficiently cold for isolated   
   thunderstorms. A few recent CAM solutions hint at the potential for   
   loosely organized convection across portions of eastern KY into WV   
   where deep-layer shear will be fairly strong (around 40 knots) in   
   proximity to an intensifying upper jet. However, meager buoyancy   
   will likely modulate updraft intensities.   
      
   ...California...   
   Persistent lightning has been noted in GOES GLM data off the CA   
   coast under the approaching upper-level trough. The 12 UTC OAK RAOB   
   also sampled cool mid-level temperatures near -20 C just below 500   
   mb. With further cooling/moistening aloft expected with the eastward   
   translation of the upper trough, isolated thunderstorms appear   
   likely after 00 UTC.   
      
   ..Moore.. 02/10/2026   
      
   $$   
      
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