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   PID: Synchronet 3.21a-Linux master/123f2d28a Jul 12 2025 GCC 12.2.0   
   TID: SBBSecho 3.28-Linux master/123f2d28a Jul 12 2025 GCC 12.2.0   
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   ACUS48 KWNS 100903   
   SWOD48   
   SPC AC 100901   
      
   Day 4-8 Convective Outlook   
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK   
   0301 AM CST Tue Feb 10 2026   
      
   Valid 131200Z - 181200Z   
      
   ...DISCUSSION...   
   ...Days 4-6/Fri-Sun -- TX into the Southeast...   
      
   An upper trough is forecast to spread eastward from the Southwest   
   into the Southeast Days 4-6/Fri-Sun. Beginning on Day 4/Friday,   
   southwesterly flow will overspread the southern Plains ahead of the   
   trough and surface low pressure is expected to develop over western   
   TX. As the system spreads east through the weekend, Gulf moisture   
   (upper 50s to low 60s F dewpoints) will overspread much of central   
   to eastern TX toward the Lower MS Valley and Deep South. Some model   
   spread persists with regards to the timing of eastward progression   
   of the upper trough, and exact latitude of the surface low (some   
   guidance clustering further south, other guidance a bit further   
   north), which will impact quality of moisture return. Regardless, at   
   least weak destabilization should accompany boundary layer   
   moistening and cooling aloft amid strengthening deep-layer   
   southwesterly flow.   
      
   Some low-end severe potential is possible from Friday evening   
   through Saturday across portions of TX, and into the Lower MS   
   Valley/Deep South Saturday night through Sunday. However, overall   
   severe potential will likely be limited by weak destabilization, a   
   somewhat cool boundary layer, and questionable moisture return this   
   early in the season, precluding 15 percent severe delineation.   
      
   ..Leitman.. 02/10/2026   
      
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