TZUTC: 0000   
   MSGID: 169334.weather@1:2320/105 2df0b2af   
   PID: Synchronet 3.21a-Linux master/123f2d28a Jul 12 2025 GCC 12.2.0   
   TID: SBBSecho 3.28-Linux master/123f2d28a Jul 12 2025 GCC 12.2.0   
   BBSID: CAPCITY2   
   CHRS: ASCII 1   
   FORMAT: flowed   
   ACUS01 KWNS 081942   
   SWODY1   
   SPC AC 081940   
      
   Day 1 Convective Outlook   
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK   
   0140 PM CST Sun Feb 08 2026   
      
   Valid 082000Z - 091200Z   
      
   ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...   
      
   ...SUMMARY...   
   A few thunderstorms are possible along a portion of the coastal   
   Pacific Northwest tonight.   
      
   ...20z Update...   
   No changes are needed to the D1 Convective Outlook. See previous   
   discussion below for more information.   
      
   ..Thornton.. 02/08/2026   
      
   .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1019 AM CST Sun Feb 08 2026/   
      
   ...Synopsis...   
   Recent satellite imagery reveals a pair of shortwave troughs moving   
   across the central CONUS amid modest upper troughing anchored by an   
   upper low just off the central Baja California coast. Southwesterly   
   flow extends from the eastern periphery of the upper low through OK,   
   which is just downstream of the southernmost shortwave trough. Some   
   showers are currently ongoing within this region, and the general   
   expectation is for them to continue throughout the period while   
   gradually shifting eastward with time. Forecast soundings in the   
   Arklatex vicinity shows scant buoyancy from 600 to 500 mb, which   
   could result in a few deeper convective elements. However, this   
   buoyancy is expected to be too shallow and weak for lightning   
   production.   
      
   Farther west, strong westerly/southwesterly flow aloft extends   
   through the Pacific Northwest, preceding ahead of shortwave trough   
   currently progressing through the northwest Pacific Ocean. This   
   shortwave is forecast to continue eastward, moving through the   
   Pacific Northwest this evening and overnight. Some modest buoyancy   
   may develop along the coast as cold mid-level temperatures   
   associated with this system spread eastward, supporting a line of   
   deeper convection along the axis of the upper trough. Occasional   
   lightning flashes are possible along the coast within the deepest   
   cores.   
      
   $$   
      
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