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   Day 1 Convective Outlook   
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK   
   1019 AM CST Sun Feb 08 2026   
      
   Valid 081630Z - 091200Z   
      
   ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...   
      
   ...SUMMARY...   
   A few thunderstorms are possible along a portion of the coastal   
   Pacific Northwest tonight.   
      
   ...Synopsis...   
   Recent satellite imagery reveals a pair of shortwave troughs moving   
   across the central CONUS amid modest upper troughing anchored by an   
   upper low just off the central Baja California coast. Southwesterly   
   flow extends from the eastern periphery of the upper low through OK,   
   which is just downstream of the southernmost shortwave trough. Some   
   showers are currently ongoing within this region, and the general   
   expectation is for them to continue throughout the period while   
   gradually shifting eastward with time. Forecast soundings in the   
   Arklatex vicinity shows scant buoyancy from 600 to 500 mb, which   
   could result in a few deeper convective elements. However, this   
   buoyancy is expected to be too shallow and weak for lightning   
   production.   
      
   Farther west, strong westerly/southwesterly flow aloft extends   
   through the Pacific Northwest, preceding ahead of shortwave trough   
   currently progressing through the northwest Pacific Ocean. This   
   shortwave is forecast to continue eastward, moving through the   
   Pacific Northwest this evening and overnight. Some modest buoyancy   
   may develop along the coast as cold mid-level temperatures   
   associated with this system spread eastward, supporting a line of   
   deeper convection along the axis of the upper trough. Occasional   
   lightning flashes are possible along the coast within the deepest   
   cores.   
      
   ..Mosier/Halbert.. 02/08/2026   
      
   $$   
      
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