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   718    
   AXNT20 KNHC 081001   
   TWDAT    
      
   Tropical Weather Discussion   
   NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL   
   1215 UTC Sun Feb 8 2026   
      
   Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America   
   Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South   
   America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the   
   Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite   
   imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.   
      
   Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 0900 UTC.   
      
   ...SPECIAL FEATURES...   
      
   Western and Central Atlantic Gale Warnings/Significant Swell: A   
   cold front extends from 31N56W to the SE Bahamas and into western   
   Cuba. Gale-force W winds of up to 45 kt follow this cold front N   
   of 27N to 71W. Seas within the area of gales have built to 20 to   
   30 ft. Very rough seas in excess of 12 ft extend well S of the   
   gale area due to expansive, significant NW swell, within an area   
   of strong mainly W winds, N of 23N between 40W and 77W. Widespread   
   gale-force to near storm- force winds will impact waters W of the   
   front, north of 27N and east of 70W into Mon, when the front will   
   reach a 31N48W to Leeward Islands line. Gale-force winds behind    
   the front will diminish to fresh to strong speeds by early Tue    
   morning. Very rough seas generated by these winds will propagate    
   SE and impact much of the waters into mid-week, with peak seas of    
   33 ft possible from 30N to Bermuda this afternoon. The very rough   
   seas are likely to finally diminish below 12 ft Wed.    
      
   Please read the latest High Seas and Offshore Waters Forecasts    
   issued by the National Hurricane Center at website:   
   https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml  and   
   https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/offshores.php   
     for more details on these events.   
      
   ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...   
      
   The monsoon trough axis enters the Atlantic through the coast of   
   W Africa near 07N12W and extends southwestward to near 04N18W,    
   where it transitions to the ITCZ that continues to 00N30W. Scattered   
   moderate convection is from 00N to 03N between 25W and 30W.   
      
   ...GULF OF MEXICO...   
      
   A stationary front extends from the Yucatan Channel to the upper   
   Texas coast. High pressure dominates on both sides of the    
   boundary, with a 1024 mb high centered near 23N94W. NE of the    
   front, Moderate NE winds and 3 to 5 ft seas prevail, with light to   
   gentle winds and slight seas to the SW.    
      
   For the forecast, high pressure will dominate the basin, bringing   
   quiescent weather into late week.   
      
   ...CARIBBEAN SEA...    
      
   A cold front is noted from from western Cuba across the Yucatan   
   Channel. A stationary front extends from Puerto Rico to the   
   central basin near 15N72W. Mainly NE winds are present through the   
   basin, with moderate seas.    
      
   For the forecast, the cold front will overtake the stationary   
   front later today, then slide east of the Leeward Islands Mon. Winds   
   will increase in the wake of the front, becoming strong initially   
   offshore Colombia and Hispaniola tonight, then expanding to much    
   of the central basin Mon through Wed, as high pressure in the    
   western Atlantic builds southward toward the area. Rough seas will   
   accompany these strong winds. In addition, large NW to N swell    
   will impact the Mona Passage, Anegada Passage, and tropical N    
   Atlantic waters tonight into Wed.    
      
   ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...   
      
   Please see the Special Features section for details on a Gale   
   Warning and significant swell in the western and central Atlantic.   
      
   Aside from the gale and significant swell, a reinforcing cold   
   front extends from 31N60W to the NW Bahamas. Ahead of the main   
   cold front, responsible for the gales, a weakening stationary   
   front extends from 31N48W to Puerto Rico. In the far east   
   Atlantic, a 1026 mb high pressure is centered just W of the Canary   
   Islands, and dominates the basin outside of the aforementioned   
   frontal boundaries. This is leading to fresh NE to E trades and   
   moderate to rough seas S of 20N and E of 50W, with moderate or   
   lesser winds and seas elsewhere SE of a 31N30W to Puerto Rico line.   
      
   For the forecast W of 55W, gales will spread east as cold front   
   moves E across the waters, impacting areas N of 27N through Mon.    
   This front will merge with a stationary front that is over the SE    
   waters tonight, then move E of the area by Mon night, allowing    
   winds to gradually diminish. Very rough seas will impact most of    
   the waters E of 77W through Tue, with peak seas along 30N, SE of    
   Bermuda, exceeding 30 ft through tonight.    
       
   $$   
   Konarik   
   --- SBBSecho 3.28-Linux   
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