TZUTC: 0000   
   MSGID: 169319.weather@1:2320/105 2df00c47   
   PID: Synchronet 3.21a-Linux master/123f2d28a Jul 12 2025 GCC 12.2.0   
   TID: SBBSecho 3.28-Linux master/123f2d28a Jul 12 2025 GCC 12.2.0   
   BBSID: CAPCITY2   
   CHRS: ASCII 1   
   FORMAT: flowed   
   ACUS48 KWNS 080752   
   SWOD48   
   SPC AC 080751   
      
   Day 4-8 Convective Outlook   
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK   
   0151 AM CST Sun Feb 08 2026   
      
   Valid 111200Z - 161200Z   
      
   ...DISCUSSION...   
   Some thunderstorm potential is possible on Day 4/Wed across parts of   
   the Gulf Coast states as a weakening upper shortwave trough moves   
   across the Gulf and FL. A cold front will develop southward across   
   the region, and warm advection atop the front, combined with cooling   
   aloft may support isolated thunderstorms. However, instability is   
   expected to remain weak and severe storms are not expected.   
      
   Spread among forecast guidance increases heading into the weekend.   
   However, the general pattern suggests upper ridging will move across   
   the Plains and Southeast through Day 6/Fri. Meanwhile, another upper   
   trough will develop over the western U.S., and approach the southern   
   Plains by late Friday. As surface low pressure develops over the   
   southern Plains ahead of the upper trough, southerly low-level flow   
   over the western Gulf will support modest northward transport of at   
   least shallow Gulf moisture into TX and the Gulf Coast states. As   
   the upper trough shifts east across the southern Plains and into the   
   Southeast around Day 7/Sat, some potential for increasing   
   thunderstorm activity is expected. Given a couple days of increasing   
   boundary layer moisture, some low severe risk could accompany the   
   upper trough passage. However, large spread in the timing of this   
   system, and uncertainty regarding quality of moisture return and   
   ensuing destabilization preclude a 15 percent severe delineation.   
      
   ..Leitman.. 02/08/2026   
      
   = = =   
   To unsubscribe from WX-STORM and you already have a login, go to   
   https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link.  Otherwise email   
   Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-STORM.   
      
   --- SBBSecho 3.28-Linux   
    * Origin: Capitol City Online (1:2320/105)   
   SEEN-BY: 1/19 100 16/0 19/10 37 104/119 105/81 106/201 114/10 120/302   
   SEEN-BY: 123/130 128/187 129/14 142/104 153/757 7715 154/10 30 50   
   SEEN-BY: 154/110 700 203/0 218/700 840 220/10 20 90 221/1 6 360 226/18   
   SEEN-BY: 226/20 30 44 50 227/114 229/110 134 206 300 307 317 400 426   
   SEEN-BY: 229/428 470 664 700 705 240/5832 266/512 280/5003 291/111   
   SEEN-BY: 301/1 320/119 219 319 2119 322/757 762 326/101 335/364 341/66   
   SEEN-BY: 342/200 396/45 423/81 460/58 633/280 712/848 902/26 2320/0   
   SEEN-BY: 2320/105 304 3634/12 5020/400 5075/35   
   PATH: 2320/105 154/10 221/6 1 320/219 229/426