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   TID: SBBSecho 3.28-Linux master/123f2d28a Jul 12 2025 GCC 12.2.0   
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   Day 3 Convective Outlook   
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK   
   1244 AM CST Sun Feb 08 2026   
      
   Valid 101200Z - 111200Z   
      
   ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...   
      
   ...SUMMARY...   
   Severe thunderstorms are not expected on Tuesday.   
      
   ...Synopsis...   
      
   An upper shortwave trough will move east from northern Mexico toward   
   central/eastern TX on Tuesday. This will result in increasing   
   west/southwesterly flow across the southern Plains toward the TN   
   Valley. At the surface, low pressure over OK will meander eastward   
   and weaken. Meanwhile, southerly low-level flow ahead of the low   
   will transport modest Gulf moisture north across eastern TX toward   
   the Lower MS Valley vicinity. Moistening thermodynamic profiles and   
   midlevel cooling ahead of the trough will support weak elevated   
   instability across far western TX. Isolated thunderstorms may   
   develop northeast from northern Mexico into western TX. This   
   activity is not expected to be severe.   
      
   Overnight, warm advection will result in elevated convection ahead   
   of a southward sagging cold front from the southern Ozarks toward   
   the TN Valley. While west/southwesterly flow will allow for   
   moistening in the midlevels, cooling aloft will be modest and how   
   much destabilization may occur is uncertain. A few elevated   
   thunderstorms could be possible late in the period over parts of the   
   Mid-South and/or TN Valley, but confidence in 10 percent coverage is   
   low, precluding a general thunder delineation.   
      
   ..Leitman.. 02/08/2026   
      
   $$   
      
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