TZUTC: 0000   
   MSGID: 169307.weather@1:2320/105 2def653b   
   PID: Synchronet 3.21a-Linux master/123f2d28a Jul 12 2025 GCC 12.2.0   
   TID: SBBSecho 3.28-Linux master/123f2d28a Jul 12 2025 GCC 12.2.0   
   BBSID: CAPCITY2   
   CHRS: ASCII 1   
   FORMAT: flowed   
   ACUS01 KWNS 072000   
   SWODY1   
   SPC AC 071958   
      
   Day 1 Convective Outlook   
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK   
   0158 PM CST Sat Feb 07 2026   
      
   Valid 072000Z - 081200Z   
      
   ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...   
      
   ...SUMMARY...   
   Severe thunderstorms are not forecast through tonight.   
      
   ...Southeast AZ...   
   No changes have been made to the ongoing forecast.  A few   
   thunderstorms are possible this afternoon and evening over parts of   
   southeast AZ.  Otherwise, dry and stable conditions will prevail.   
      
   ..Hart.. 02/07/2026   
      
   .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1019 AM CST Sat Feb 07 2026/   
      
   ...Synopsis...   
   Recent satellite imagery shows a well-defined upper low centered   
   just west of northern Baja Peninsula. This imagery also shows a   
   low-amplitude shortwave trough ejecting northeastward ahead of this   
   low towards the Southwest US. Some showers are already ongoing   
   across southwest NM ahead of this shortwave, and the expectation is   
   that precipitation coverage, and perhaps intensity, will increase   
   throughout the afternoon as lift and low/mid-level moisture also   
   increase ahead of the approaching shortwave. The increasing   
   low/mid-level moisture combined with cooling mid-level temperatures   
   will support modest buoyancy, and the potential for a few   
   thunderstorms, largely during the late afternoon across southeast AZ   
   and southwest NM.   
      
   Farther east, expansive high pressure will cover much of the CONUS   
   from the MS Valley eastward, promoting dry and stable conditions.   
   Lee troughing is anticipated over the High Plains with modest   
   cyclogenesis yielding a weak low that then moves across NE/SD   
   tonight. Dry and stable conditions here will preclude thunderstorms   
   as well.   
      
   $$   
      
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