TZUTC: -0500   
   MSGID: 169296.weather@1:2320/105 2def1219   
   PID: Synchronet 3.21a-Linux master/123f2d28a Jul 12 2025 GCC 12.2.0   
   TID: SBBSecho 3.28-Linux master/123f2d28a Jul 12 2025 GCC 12.2.0   
   BBSID: CAPCITY2   
   CHRS: ASCII 1   
   FORMAT: flowed   
   815    
   AXNT20 KNHC 071052   
   TWDAT    
      
   Tropical Weather Discussion   
   NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL   
   1215 UTC Sat Feb 7 2026   
      
   Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America   
   Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South   
   America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the   
   Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite   
   imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.   
      
   Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 1000 UTC.   
      
   ...SPECIAL FEATURES...   
      
   Western and Central Atlantic Gale Warnings/Significant Swell: A   
   cold front that extends from 31N51W to the Mona Passage is   
   inducing gale conditions on both sides of the front along and   
   north of 30N. Scattered moderate convection is also present in   
   this area. These gales will diminish this morning as the front   
   weakens. Another cold front moving off the SE U.S. coast early   
   this morning will move into area waters today, inducing a broad   
   area of gales N of 27N between 77W and 50W as the front tracks   
   eastward through Mon. Winds close to 30N Sat night into Sun night    
   may be near storm-force to the S of Bermuda. Very rough seas   
   generated by these gales combined with swell from storm-force low   
   pressures to the north will propagate southward to impact most   
   waters N of 18N into the middle of next week, with peak seas of 30   
   to 35 ft possible Sun through Sun night closer to 30N to the SE of Bermuda.   
      
   Please read the latest High Seas and Offshore Waters Forecasts    
   issued by the National Hurricane Center at website:   
   https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml  and   
   https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/offshores.php   
    for more details on these events.   
      
   ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...   
      
   A monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 09N13W and extends    
   southwestward to 05N17W. An ITCZ continues west-southwestward to    
   00N32W. Scattered moderate convection is seen within 30 nm of the ITCZ.   
      
   ...GULF OF MEXICO...   
      
   A 1024 mb high centered near 24N91W continues to dominate the    
   entire Gulf. Moderate to fresh NW to winds and seas of 5 to 7 ft    
   are seen across the north-central and eastern Gulf, including the    
   Florida Straits. Gentle winds and 2 to 4 ft seas prevail for the    
   rest of the Gulf.   
      
   For the forecast, fresh NW winds in the NE Gulf will diminish as    
   high pressure settles over the waters. This high will dominate the   
   weather through the middle of next week, bringing quiescent    
   conditions to the basin.   
      
   ...CARIBBEAN SEA...    
      
   A weakening cold front extends from the Mona Passage to offshore   
   Panama. Convection associated with this front has dissipated early   
   this morning. Strong N winds and seas of 8 to 10 ft are present   
   behind the front in the SW basin. In the NW basin, moderate to   
   fresh N winds and moderate seas prevail. Elsewhere, the tradewind   
   regime has been disrupted by the cold front, leaving light to   
   gentle winds and seas of 3 to 5 ft remaining.    
      
   For the forecast, the cold front will gradually dissipate into    
   tonight. Strong N winds and rough seas will prevail in the SW    
   basin behind the front through dissipation. In the wake of the    
   front, fresh to strong trades will develop offshore Colombia and    
   Hispaniola Sun night, then increase and expand through the central   
   basin into the middle of next week as high pressure builds N of    
   the area. Rough seas will develop in this area of strong winds.    
   Additionally, large N to NW swell will impact the Mona Passage,    
   Anegada Passage, and tropical N Atlantic waters beginning on Mon.    
      
   ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...   
      
   Please see the Special Features section for details on a Gale    
   Warning and on areas of significant swell.   
      
   Outside of the gale warning areas, strong SW winds are ahead of   
   the central Atlantic cold front, N of 25N and W of 40W. Rough seas   
   are present in this area. Strong W winds are also present N of 25W   
   behind the cold front, with rough to very rough seas. Moderate to   
   fresh trades dominate waters S of 22N and E of 50W, with gentle to   
   moderate winds elsewhere. Rough seas are impacting waters N of 15N   
   and E of 40W, and S of 10N between 35W and 50W. Elsewhere,   
   moderate seas prevail.    
      
   For the forecast W of 55W, gale-force winds along and N of 30N on   
   both sides of a cold front that extends from 31N51W to just NW of   
   Puerto Rico are diminishing early this morning. New gales are    
   developing on either side of a reinforcing front that is entering    
   the NW waters this morning, and widespread gale-force to near    
   storm-force winds will impact waters N of 27N E of 77W this    
   weekend as the combined front reaches 31N47W to the Leeward    
   Islands Sun. The front will continue moving east through the SE    
   waters early next week, with gales gradually subsiding in NE    
   waters late Mon. Very rough seas generated by the gales, and    
   storm-force winds to the north of the waters, will propagate SE    
   and impact much of the waters into early next week, with peak seas   
   of 30 to 35 ft possible SE of Bermuda Sun. The very rough seas    
   are likely to finally depart the region to the east Wed.   
      
   $$   
   Konarik   
   --- SBBSecho 3.28-Linux   
    * Origin: Capitol City Online (1:2320/105)   
   SEEN-BY: 1/19 100 16/0 19/10 37 104/119 105/81 106/201 114/10 120/302   
   SEEN-BY: 123/130 128/187 129/14 142/104 153/757 7715 154/10 30 50   
   SEEN-BY: 154/110 700 203/0 218/700 840 220/10 20 90 221/1 6 360 226/18   
   SEEN-BY: 226/20 30 44 50 227/114 229/110 134 206 300 307 317 400 426   
   SEEN-BY: 229/428 470 664 700 705 240/5832 266/512 280/5003 291/111   
   SEEN-BY: 301/1 320/119 219 319 2119 322/757 762 326/101 335/364 341/66   
   SEEN-BY: 342/200 396/45 423/81 460/58 633/280 712/848 902/26 2320/0   
   SEEN-BY: 2320/105 304 3634/12 5020/400 5075/35   
   PATH: 2320/105 154/10 221/6 1 320/219 229/426