TZUTC: 0000   
   MSGID: 169281.weather@1:2320/105 2dee4e46   
   PID: Synchronet 3.21a-Linux master/123f2d28a Jul 12 2025 GCC 12.2.0   
   TID: SBBSecho 3.28-Linux master/123f2d28a Jul 12 2025 GCC 12.2.0   
   BBSID: CAPCITY2   
   CHRS: ASCII 1   
   FORMAT: flowed   
   FOUS30 KWBC 070010   
   QPFERD   
      
   Excessive Rainfall Discussion   
   NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD   
   710 PM EST Fri Feb 6 2026   
      
   Day 1   
   Valid 01Z Sat Feb 07 2026 - 12Z Sat Feb 07 2026   
      
   The probability of rainfall exceeding flash flood guidance is less   
   than 5 percent.   
      
   Pereira   
      
   Day 2   
   Valid 12Z Sat Feb 07 2026 - 12Z Sun Feb 08 2026   
      
   The probability of rainfall exceeding flash flood guidance is less   
   than 5 percent.   
      
   ...Olympic Peninsula...   
   A modest, but weakening atmospheric river event will be impacting   
   western WA late Friday night and into Saturday, with the latest   
   consensus of IVT magnitudes from the 12Z guidance generally peaking   
   in the 500 to 600 kg/m/s range before weakening. The upslope areas   
   of the Olympics should generally be capable of seeing as much as 2   
   to 2.5 inches of rain with perhaps an isolated max around 3   
   inches, but the latest HREF guidance shows the probabilities of   
   0.50"/hour rainfall rates peaking in only the 20 to 30 percent   
   range between 12Z/Sat and 00Z/Sun before the rain then tapers off   
   for the second half of the period. This coupled with the fact that   
   most streamflows have returned to near normal suggests that the   
   threat for any runoff issues/flooding at least for this period is   
   very low. Given this and some drier QPF trends in the guidance   
   compared to yesterday, it was decided to remove the Marginal Risk   
   which was also coordinated with WFO SEW.   
      
   Orrison   
      
   Day 3   
   Valid 12Z Sun Feb 08 2026 - 12Z Mon Feb 09 2026   
      
   The probability of rainfall exceeding flash flood guidance is less   
   than 5 percent.   
      
   Orrison   
      
      
   Day 1 threat area: https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.go=   
   v/qpf/94epoints.txt__;!!DZ3fjg!41iHqKvwt7StUrE5S8wAv3HkTRZd0JklXDC9n36Iq1AY=   
   -ifweBomvSrhHkajg4e1V-KREYxzy9ld01Cq-568HxNUiTM$=20   
   Day 2 threat area: https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.go=   
   v/qpf/98epoints.txt__;!!DZ3fjg!41iHqKvwt7StUrE5S8wAv3HkTRZd0JklXDC9n36Iq1AY=   
   -ifweBomvSrhHkajg4e1V-KREYxzy9ld01Cq-568D4T8mM0$=20   
   Day 3 threat area: https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.go=   
   v/qpf/99epoints.txt__;!!DZ3fjg!41iHqKvwt7StUrE5S8wAv3HkTRZd0JklXDC9n36Iq1AY=   
   -ifweBomvSrhHkajg4e1V-KREYxzy9ld01Cq-568xWuJ_cY$=20   
      
   =3D =3D =3D   
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   --- SBBSecho 3.28-Linux   
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