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   TID: SBBSecho 3.28-Linux master/123f2d28a Jul 12 2025 GCC 12.2.0   
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   FOUS30 KWBC 061518   
   QPFERD   
      
   Excessive Rainfall Discussion   
   NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD   
   1018 AM EST Fri Feb 6 2026   
      
   Day 1   
   Valid 16Z Fri Feb 06 2026 - 12Z Sat Feb 07 2026   
      
   The probability of rainfall exceeding flash flood guidance is less   
   than 5 percent.   
      
   Orrison   
      
   Day 2   
   Valid 12Z Sat Feb 07 2026 - 12Z Sun Feb 08 2026   
      
   ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL ACROSS PORTIONS   
   OF WESTERN WASHINGTON...   
      
   Maintained the Marginal risk area issued on Thursday afternoon across   
   the Olympics where there is a threat of lower end flood impacts on   
   Saturday. Models continue to show a weakening atmospheric river   
   will bring a 12-24 hr period of moderate rainfall to the outlook   
   area. NBM 24hr rainfall forecasts have consistently trended upward   
   over the past few days, with amounts in the 2-3" range...with the   
   amounts from the 00Z NBM totals nudging even closer to 3 inches.   
   Although much of the western U.S. has experienced a dry winter, the   
   Olympic range is one area where recent rainfall and streamflows   
   are actually both running a bit above average. This is not expected   
   to be a significant event; however, the combination of rainfall   
   magnitudes locally trending upwards and the currently elevated   
   streamflow suggests that some lower end flood impacts are possible.   
      
   Bann   
      
   Day 3   
   Valid 12Z Sun Feb 08 2026 - 12Z Mon Feb 09 2026   
      
   The probability of rainfall exceeding flash flood guidance is less   
   than 5 percent.   
      
   Bann   
      
      
   Day 1 threat area: https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.go=   
   v/qpf/94epoints.txt__;!!DZ3fjg!4PvJFfl7V62j-oy3y1keqwvfHfNEua9_cwGVZmsUYZD3=   
   y9LIBUA1LCoBuFJb_PXlmYSVfaWVUVWGYEdqOFbDfBe45lI$=20   
   Day 2 threat area: https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.go=   
   v/qpf/98epoints.txt__;!!DZ3fjg!4PvJFfl7V62j-oy3y1keqwvfHfNEua9_cwGVZmsUYZD3=   
   y9LIBUA1LCoBuFJb_PXlmYSVfaWVUVWGYEdqOFbDpANQC0c$=20   
   Day 3 threat area: https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.go=   
   v/qpf/99epoints.txt__;!!DZ3fjg!4PvJFfl7V62j-oy3y1keqwvfHfNEua9_cwGVZmsUYZD3=   
   y9LIBUA1LCoBuFJb_PXlmYSVfaWVUVWGYEdqOFbD7h4hF-M$=20   
      
   =3D =3D =3D   
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   --- SBBSecho 3.28-Linux   
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