TZUTC: 0000   
   MSGID: 169253.weather@1:2320/105 2ded04c6   
   PID: Synchronet 3.21a-Linux master/123f2d28a Jul 12 2025 GCC 12.2.0   
   TID: SBBSecho 3.28-Linux master/123f2d28a Jul 12 2025 GCC 12.2.0   
   BBSID: CAPCITY2   
   CHRS: ASCII 1   
   FORMAT: flowed   
   ACUS01 KWNS 060045   
   SWODY1   
   SPC AC 060043   
      
   Day 1 Convective Outlook   
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK   
   0643 PM CST Thu Feb 05 2026   
      
   Valid 060100Z - 061200Z   
      
   ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...   
      
   ...SUMMARY...   
   Thunderstorm probabilities appear less than 10 percent across the   
   U.S tonight.   
      
   ...01Z Update...   
      
   ...Southwest...   
   A short wave trough approaching a blocking mid-level ridge centered   
   inland of the U.S. Pacific coast continues to split, with one   
   emerging perturbation now digging toward southern California and   
   Baja, where weak larger-scale preceding troughing is already slowly   
   accelerating north/northeastward, inland across coastal areas.  As   
   this continues tonight, lower/mid-tropospheric moisture of   
   sub-tropical eastern Pacific origin is forecast to continue to   
   advect northward across portions of southern California through the   
   Mojave Desert and lower Colorado Valley.  Coincident with steepening   
   lapse rates aided by mid-level cooling, Rapid Refresh and NAM   
   forecast soundings continue to indicate layers of weak conditional   
   instability developing across the region overnight.  The evolution   
   of profiles conducive to convection capable of producing lightning   
   remains a bit unclear, but still seems generally low through at   
   least 12Z Friday..   
      
   ..Kerr.. 02/06/2026   
      
   $$   
      
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