TZUTC: 0000   
   MSGID: 169137.weather@1:2320/105 2de81035   
   PID: Synchronet 3.21a-Linux master/123f2d28a Jul 12 2025 GCC 12.2.0   
   TID: SBBSecho 3.28-Linux master/123f2d28a Jul 12 2025 GCC 12.2.0   
   BBSID: CAPCITY2   
   CHRS: ASCII 1   
   FORMAT: flowed   
   ACUS02 KWNS 020634   
   SWODY2   
   SPC AC 020633   
      
   Day 2 Convective Outlook   
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK   
   1233 AM CST Mon Feb 02 2026   
      
   Valid 031200Z - 041200Z   
      
   ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...   
      
   ...SUMMARY...   
   Severe thunderstorms are not expected on Tuesday or Tuesday night.   
      
   ...East TX into the lower MS Valley...   
   A series of shortwave troughs will move through/into the base of a   
   larger-scale trough covering the eastern half of the CONUS through   
   the period. As this occurs, a related cold front will move   
   southeastward across east TX into the lower MS Valley during the   
   afternoon and evening/overnight hours. Despite poor deep-layer lapse   
   rates, sufficient boundary-layer moisture return (middle 50s to near   
   60 F dewpoints) will yield weak surface-based buoyancy ahead of the   
   front. This will support isolated to widely scattered thunderstorms   
   from east TX into LA, though the weak buoyancy and limited   
   large-scale ascent over the warm sector should limit the severe   
   risk.   
      
   ..Weinman.. 02/02/2026   
      
   $$   
      
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