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   TID: SBBSecho 3.28-Linux master/123f2d28a Jul 12 2025 GCC 12.2.0   
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   FOUS30 KWBC 020014   
   QPFERD   
      
   Excessive Rainfall Discussion   
   NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD   
   714 PM EST Sun Feb 1 2026   
      
   Day 1   
   Valid 01Z Mon Feb 02 2026 - 12Z Mon Feb 02 2026   
      
   The probability of rainfall exceeding flash flood guidance is less   
   than 5 percent.   
      
   Bann   
      
      
   Day 2   
   Valid 12Z Mon Feb 02 2026 - 12Z Tue Feb 03 2026   
      
   The probability of rainfall exceeding flash flood guidance is less   
   than 5 percent.   
      
   Roth/Kleebauer   
      
      
   Day 3   
   Valid 12Z Tue Feb 03 2026 - 12Z Wed Feb 04 2026   
      
   The guidance QPF signal for moderate to heavy rainfall in and near   
   MS does not reach any flash flooding threshold on its own.   
   However, there is an area of ice lingering in and near portions of   
   the Mid-South/Delta Region of MS -- deposited 7-8 days ago -- that   
   could become a more important aspect to consider for excessive   
   rainfall/flash flood concerns should the guidance/QPF maximum   
   preference shift northwest into that area. It's unclear either how   
   fast the icing -- with liquid content of 1-2" -- would melt. If it   
   doesn't melt substantially, there would be a risk of runoff if   
   heavy enough rain falls upon the ice. Can't rule out a Marginal   
   Risk at some point should the guidance QPF maximum and ice area   
   align better in later cycles.   
      
   The probability of rainfall exceeding flash flood guidance is less   
   than 5 percent.   
      
   Roth   
      
      
   Day 1 threat area: https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.go=   
   v/qpf/94epoints.txt__;!!DZ3fjg!7ZHDHVannGqFfcEuxlZmtL6zWkspaWxLwAYiGTA_wvhx=   
   4tDFv5TxxRqMXkwbMrvuLSY6T5XC8JQKTf7zaj4juh6Feto$=20   
   Day 2 threat area: https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.go=   
   v/qpf/98epoints.txt__;!!DZ3fjg!7ZHDHVannGqFfcEuxlZmtL6zWkspaWxLwAYiGTA_wvhx=   
   4tDFv5TxxRqMXkwbMrvuLSY6T5XC8JQKTf7zaj4jaRRU3e0$=20   
   Day 3 threat area: https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.go=   
   v/qpf/99epoints.txt__;!!DZ3fjg!7ZHDHVannGqFfcEuxlZmtL6zWkspaWxLwAYiGTA_wvhx=   
   4tDFv5TxxRqMXkwbMrvuLSY6T5XC8JQKTf7zaj4jLqFM3Gk$=20   
      
   =3D =3D =3D   
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   --- SBBSecho 3.28-Linux   
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