TZUTC: 0000   
   MSGID: 169097.weather@1:2320/105 2de61744   
   PID: Synchronet 3.21a-Linux master/123f2d28a Jul 12 2025 GCC 12.2.0   
   TID: SBBSecho 3.28-Linux master/123f2d28a Jul 12 2025 GCC 12.2.0   
   BBSID: CAPCITY2   
   CHRS: ASCII 1   
   FORMAT: flowed   
   ACUS11 KWNS 311840   
   SWOMCD   
   SPC MCD 311840=20   
   NCZ000-VAZ000-312245-   
      
   Mesoscale Discussion 0068   
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK   
   1240 PM CST Sat Jan 31 2026   
      
   Areas affected...parts of eastern North Carolina and adjacent   
   southeastern Virginia   
      
   Concerning...Heavy snow=20   
      
   Valid 311840Z - 312245Z   
      
   SUMMARY...A period of sustained moderate to heavy snow rates   
   approaching and occasionally exceeding 1 inch per hour appears to be   
   developing and likely to continue through around 6-7 PM EST.   
      
   DISCUSSION...Longer term radar loops indicate increasing   
   precipitation rates within a zone of stronger lower/mid-tropospheric   
   warm advection and frontogenetic forcing, extending from just inland   
   of North Carolina and southeastern Virginia coastal areas   
   east-northeastward offshore.  Across and inland of the coast,   
   thermodynamic profiles are largely sub-freezing, with Rapid Refresh   
   forecast soundings indicating modest precipitable water around .4 to   
   .5 inches along this corridor.=20=20   
      
   These same soundings suggest lift becoming maximized within   
   temperatures most conducive to large dendritic ice crystal growth   
   (roughly in the 700-600 mb layer) through 21-00Z, and becoming   
   focused near the Virginia/North Carolina border, near but perhaps   
   remaining just south of the Norfolk/Virginia Beach vicinity, before   
   stronger forcing tends to shift east of coastal areas this evening.=20   
   It appears that this probably will be accompanied by a sustained   
   period of moderate to heavy snow rates approaching and occasionally   
   exceeding 1 inch per hour.   
      
   ..Kerr.. 01/31/2026   
      
   ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj=   
   g!8CEycyVgOFF90yX-uU46kxaFoiHvXRQeNr46K69JksSQR33EwjBvzAuqr9_4R2yfpi5kbN928=   
   Xyd0yMeUyHJfuiDY74$  for graphic product...   
      
   ATTN...WFO...AKQ...MHX...RAH...   
      
   LAT...LON   36347730 37167535 35607528 34937712 35637749 36347730=20   
      
      
   =3D =3D =3D   
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