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   PID: Synchronet 3.21a-Linux master/123f2d28a Jul 12 2025 GCC 12.2.0   
   TID: SBBSecho 3.28-Linux master/123f2d28a Jul 12 2025 GCC 12.2.0   
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   ACUS03 KWNS 281820   
   SWODY3   
   SPC AC 281819   
      
   Day 3 Convective Outlook   
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK   
   1219 PM CST Wed Jan 28 2026   
      
   Valid 301200Z - 311200Z   
      
   ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...   
      
   ...SUMMARY...   
   Thunderstorm probabilities across the U.S. for Friday through Friday   
   night appear less than 10 percent.   
      
   ...Discussion...   
   Models indicate that large-scale mid-level ridging will generally be   
   maintained across the U.S. Pacific coast through Rockies, with short   
   wave ridging also building along the British Columbia coast, in the   
   wake of a short wave trough progressing inland across the Canadian   
   and adjacent northern U.S. Rockies.  Precipitation accompanying an   
   associated baroclinic zone may linger into Friday across the Pacific   
   Northwest, with perhaps an upstream warm frontal band also   
   approaching coastal Washington by late Friday night.  However,   
   forecast soundings suggest that thermodynamic profiles will not   
   become sufficiently unstable to support an appreciable risk for   
   thunderstorm activity.   
      
   Downstream, several short wave perturbations, including one vigorous   
   impulse emerging from the Hudson Bay vicinity, are forecast to   
   consolidate into amplifying, positively tilted large-scale troughing   
   across much of the lower Mississippi Valley and Gulf Basin through   
   southern Atlantic Seaboard by late Friday night.  There remains   
   notable spread concerning associated surface cyclogenesis, but it   
   appears that this will remain weak across the eastern Gulf and   
   adjacent Southeast, before undergoing notable strengthening offshore   
   of the southern/mid Atlantic coast after 12Z Saturday.  Along and   
   south of a strengthening frontal zone, a deepening moist   
   boundary-layer may become conditionally unstable across parts of the   
   Florida Keys and southeastern Florida Peninsula by Friday.  However,   
   forecast soundings indicate that relatively warm and dry air in   
   mid/upper levels will tend to suppress thunderstorm development.   
      
   ..Kerr.. 01/28/2026   
      
   $$   
      
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