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   PID: Synchronet 3.21a-Linux master/123f2d28a Jul 12 2025 GCC 12.2.0   
   TID: SBBSecho 3.28-Linux master/123f2d28a Jul 12 2025 GCC 12.2.0   
   BBSID: CAPCITY2   
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   FORMAT: flowed   
   ACUS11 KWNS 252002   
   SWOMCD   
   SPC MCD 252002=20   
   NYZ000-NJZ000-PAZ000-DEZ000-MDZ000-VAZ000-DCZ000-WVZ000-260000-   
      
   Mesoscale Discussion 0061   
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK   
   0202 PM CST Sun Jan 25 2026   
      
   Areas affected...Northern Virginia...Eastern West   
   Virginia...Southern Pennsylvania...Maryland...Delaware...and New   
   Jersey into Long Island.   
      
   Concerning...Winter mixed precipitation=20   
      
   Valid 252002Z - 260000Z   
      
   SUMMARY...Sleet continues this afternoon. A brief period of freezing   
   rain is possible by early evening.   
      
   DISCUSSION...Moderate sleet continues from northern Virginia/eastern   
   West Virginia to Long Island. As expected, the sleet/snow line has   
   advanced north with sleet now reported in New York City and Long   
   Island. From this area and to the southwest, an expansive area of   
   sleet continues.   
      
   While some guidance precipitation algorithms (such as the HRRR)   
   indicate there may be some freezing rain and ice accretion later   
   this afternoon, confidence in additional icing is low. Forecast   
   soundings where the freezing rain is depicted still show boundary   
   layer temperatures of -10C. Despite it being relatively shallow, it   
   may remain sufficient for refreezing to sleet. By the time the   
   profiles look more supportive for freezing rain, precipitation is   
   coming to an end. Therefore, some pockets of additional icing of 0.1   
   to 0.2" are possible, but the majority of the precipitation this   
   afternoon and into the early evening will likely fall as sleet.=20   
      
   In the wake of the primary precipitation shield, forecast soundings   
   show residual low-level moisture which could result in some freezing   
   drizzle later this evening.   
      
   ..Bentley.. 01/25/2026   
      
   ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj=   
   g!8JLkzk3ykLDct4SH-xxNPG-8DPx-rMOt0MTNGLqHA415YOVZsgSn2lmkFx35jEeFBg5DLl-MH=   
   frxQxEOUFrZIrMq8Z4$  for graphic product...   
      
   ATTN...WFO...OKX...PHI...AKQ...CTP...LWX...RNK...PBZ...RLX...   
      
   LAT...LON   39658006 40167843 40397649 40907442 40927382 40947287   
               40627298 40447382 40067397 39647410 39147450 38497539   
               38197695 38027847 38157974 38588031 39658006=20   
      
      
   =3D =3D =3D   
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