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   PID: Synchronet 3.21a-Linux master/123f2d28a Jul 12 2025 GCC 12.2.0   
   TID: SBBSecho 3.28-Linux master/123f2d28a Jul 12 2025 GCC 12.2.0   
   BBSID: CAPCITY2   
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   ACUS01 KWNS 251955   
   SWODY1   
   SPC AC 251953   
      
   Day 1 Convective Outlook   
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK   
   0153 PM CST Sun Jan 25 2026   
      
   Valid 252000Z - 261200Z   
      
   ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS SOUTHEAST   
   ALABAMA...SOUTHERN GEORGIA...AND NORTHERN FLORIDA...   
      
   ...SUMMARY...   
   Severe thunderstorms will continue across portions of the Southeast   
   states this afternoon, with damaging gusts and a few tornadoes   
   possible mainly across southern Georgia and northern Florida.   
      
   ...20z Update...   
   A northeast/southwest-oriented quasi-linear band of convection with   
   embedded bows and occasional transient circulations continues to   
   progress eastward at mid-afternoon across southwest Georgia, extreme   
   southeast Alabama and the Florida Panhandle. Scenario will remain   
   favorable, particularly over the next several hours (through late   
   afternoon) for damaging winds and a tornado risk across   
   southwest/toward south-central Georgia as well as nearby north   
   Florida, especially near a surface wave and along/south of a   
   northward-shifting warm front. Latest WSR-88D VWP data from   
   Tallahassee continues to imply 250+ m2/s2 0-1km SRH, while   
   middle/upper 60s F surface dewpoints, with a few 70F observations,   
   are becoming more common within the inland-expanding warm sector.   
      
   ..Guyer.. 01/25/2026   
      
   .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1003 AM CST Sun Jan 25 2026/   
      
   ...AL/GA/FL...   
   Morning water vapor imagery shows a potent mid-level shortwave   
   trough and associated 100kt jet over AR.  This feature will track   
   rapidly eastward across the TN Valley today, with large scale   
   forcing overspreading the Gulf Coast states.  This will aid in the   
   development of robust thunderstorms along the cold front now   
   extending from central AL into southeast LA.  Ahead of the front,   
   southerly surface winds will transport Gulf moisture northward and   
   result in weak but sufficient destabilization for a risk of a few   
   severe storms.  Vertical shear profiles will be favorable for a few   
   tornadoes if semi-discrete structures can form along/ahead of the   
   developing QLCS.  Otherwise, locally damaging wind gusts are the   
   main concern.  Refer to MCD #0057 for further details.   
      
   $$   
      
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   --- SBBSecho 3.28-Linux   
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