TZUTC: 0000   
   MSGID: 168894.weather@1:2320/105 2ddd8ebe   
   PID: Synchronet 3.21a-Linux master/123f2d28a Jul 12 2025 GCC 12.2.0   
   TID: SBBSecho 3.28-Linux master/123f2d28a Jul 12 2025 GCC 12.2.0   
   BBSID: CAPCITY2   
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   FORMAT: flowed   
   ACUS11 KWNS 250723   
   SWOMCD   
   SPC MCD 250723=20   
   TNZ000-KYZ000-ALZ000-MSZ000-251130-   
      
   Mesoscale Discussion 0053   
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK   
   0123 AM CST Sun Jan 25 2026   
      
   Areas affected...Far Northern MS...Western/Middle TN...Southwest KY   
      
   Concerning...Winter mixed precipitation=20   
      
   Valid 250723Z - 251130Z   
      
   SUMMARY...Mixed winter precipitation is expected to continue for at   
   least the next several hours from northern MS across western/middle   
   TN and into southwest KY for the next several hours. Freezing rain   
   rates over 0.03"/hour are possible.   
      
   DISCUSSION...Regional radar imagery has shown a notable increase in   
   reflectivity across western TN over the past half hour. Based on   
   radar data from KNQA, this area of increased reflectivity is   
   occurring between 3000 and 4000 ft, which is near where refreezing   
   into sleet would occur based on area forecast soundings.   
   Consequently, this increased reflectivity is likely more related to   
   bright band effects than increasing precipitation rates, while also   
   indicating where the transition zone from freezing rain to sleet is   
   currently located.   
      
   Expectation is for this transition zone to drift   
   northward/northwestward over the next few hours as the warm nose   
   increases slightly amid continued warm-air advection. This warm-air   
   advection will also foster continued precipitation, confirmed by   
   regional radar imagery showing widespread upstream precipitation.   
   All of these factors suggest that mixed winter precipitation will   
   continue from northern MS across western/middle TN and into   
   southwest KY for the next several hours. Freezing rain rates up to   
   0.03"/hr. have already been observed at BNA, with similar (and   
   higher) rates possible over the next few hours, particularly over   
   western TN.   
      
   ..Mosier.. 01/25/2026   
      
   ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj=   
   g!_qHKjct0saACKQDNmvbfjYEHCUMdNfOomM8N0N3WkwAozdtiQLIEjY0AZ65VaNRbkIiMOiTGk=   
   PdzvNX4TTZpZQDrPEE$  for graphic product...   
      
   ATTN...WFO...LMK...OHX...HUN...PAH...MEG...   
      
   LAT...LON   35938959 36848885 37428764 37458617 36678557 35328654   
               34758871 35058981 35938959=20   
      
      
   =3D =3D =3D   
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