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   WEATHER      Messages from the national weather servi      41,475 messages   

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   Message 40,682 of 41,475   
   COD Weather Processor to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu   
   MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0049   
   25 Jan 26 01:46:33   
   
   TZUTC: 0000   
   MSGID: 168885.weather@1:2320/105 2ddd3fb8   
   PID: Synchronet 3.21a-Linux master/123f2d28a Jul 12 2025 GCC 12.2.0   
   TID: SBBSecho 3.28-Linux master/123f2d28a Jul 12 2025 GCC 12.2.0   
   BBSID: CAPCITY2   
   CHRS: ASCII 1   
   FORMAT: flowed   
   ACUS11 KWNS 250146   
   SWOMCD   
   SPC MCD 250146=20   
   TNZ000-MSZ000-MOZ000-ARZ000-LAZ000-250645-   
      
   Mesoscale Discussion 0049   
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK   
   0746 PM CST Sat Jan 24 2026   
      
   Areas affected...Northern Louisiana into eastern   
   Arkansas...northwest Mississippi...and far western Tennessee   
      
   Concerning...Winter mixed precipitation=20   
      
   Valid 250146Z - 250645Z   
      
   SUMMARY...Another round of freezing rain and sleet is expected to   
   spread out of northern Louisiana into eastern Arkansas and northwest   
   Mississippi. Freezing rain rates upwards of 0.05 inch/hour appear   
   likely for some locations.   
      
   DISCUSSION...Recent radar mosaics show a developing plume of   
   precipitation across central to northern LA - likely associated with   
   strengthening warm advection between 925-850 mb. Over the next   
   several hours, an uptick in low-level winds should promote further   
   augmentation of isentropic and frontogenetical ascent across the   
   lower MS River Valley. Regional 00z RAOBs from SHV and LZK sampled a   
   stout (4-12 C) warm layer between 850-700 mb that will melt   
   hydrometeors as precipitation spreads north/northeast. Sub-freezing   
   surface temperatures will promote some degree of re-freezing near   
   the surface, though locations with temperatures at or near/below 15   
   F will likely be sufficiently cold (and have a sufficiently deep   
   sub-freezing layer) to promote sleet as the predominant   
   precipitation type. Warmer locations will likely observe freezing   
   rain (with freezing rain rates up to 0.05 inch/hour) with periods of   
   sleet possible. Based on latest surface observations, freezing rain   
   appears most probable across southeast AR into northwest MS with   
   sleet more likely for locations further north into east-central AR   
   and far western TN.   
      
   ..Moore.. 01/25/2026   
      
   ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj=   
   g!40Dljhd-Y1N0vPt_J733Myk562smcwQ8q2ZIY7IdT5S5c_AEasK0WybzleA07esQJgmUkkOGb=   
   oe9dPBZJTF54pv-RYQ$  for graphic product...   
      
   ATTN...WFO...MEG...JAN...LZK...SHV...   
      
   LAT...LON   32499131 32369169 32359227 32459267 32909332 33239345   
               33509334 36089071 36279027 36238969 35928916 35648881   
               35388867 35128863 34838881 32499131=20   
      
      
   =3D =3D =3D   
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   --- SBBSecho 3.28-Linux   
    * Origin: Capitol City Online (1:2320/105)   
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