TZUTC: 0000   
   MSGID: 168874.weather@1:2320/105 2ddcedf8   
   PID: Synchronet 3.21a-Linux master/123f2d28a Jul 12 2025 GCC 12.2.0   
   TID: SBBSecho 3.28-Linux master/123f2d28a Jul 12 2025 GCC 12.2.0   
   BBSID: CAPCITY2   
   CHRS: ASCII 1   
   FORMAT: flowed   
   ACUS01 KWNS 241957   
   SWODY1   
   SPC AC 241956   
      
   Day 1 Convective Outlook   
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK   
   0156 PM CST Sat Jan 24 2026   
      
   Valid 242000Z - 251200Z   
      
   ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...   
      
   ...SUMMARY...   
   Severe thunderstorms are not expected today or tonight.   
      
   ...20Z Update...   
   Only minor changes to the thunderstorm forecast were made based on   
   current observations. Cold air remains in place across the lower   
   Mississippi Valley this afternoon with ongoing and expected   
   precipitation reinforcing this airmass through Sunday morning. As   
   previously mentioned, a slow improvement in the environment is   
   possible from southeast Louisiana into southern Mississippi and   
   western Alabama. Given the current observations, it may take longer   
   to move warm/moist air inland than expected. Confidence in this   
   occurring before 12Z Sunday remains too low for severe   
   probabilities. See the previous forecast for additional information.   
      
   ..Wendt.. 01/24/2026   
      
   .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0942 AM CST Sat Jan 24 2026/   
      
   ...LA/MS/AL Overnight...   
   The primary surface cold front has pushed off the mid/upper TX Gulf   
   coast, where scattered thunderstorms are ongoing.  As the primary   
   upper trough approaches later tonight, increasing southerly   
   low-level winds ahead of the front will transport Gulf moisture   
   northward into parts of southeast LA and southern MS/AL.  This will   
   result in some destabilization and increase in low-level/deep-layer   
   vertical shear.  Despite a slowly improving environment for strong   
   convection, the main upper forcing is expected to lag to the west of   
   this region until after 12z.  Therefore, will maintain   
   less-than-marginal severe probabilities for the overnight period.   
      
   $$   
      
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