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   ACUS11 KWNS 240729   
   SWOMCD   
   SPC MCD 240729=20   
   OKZ000-TXZ000-241130-   
      
   Mesoscale Discussion 0040   
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK   
   0129 AM CST Sat Jan 24 2026   
      
   Areas affected...Northwest/Southwest/North-Central   
   TX...South-Central/Southeast OK   
      
   Concerning...Winter mixed precipitation=20   
      
   Valid 240729Z - 241130Z   
      
   SUMMARY...A mix of freezing rain and sleet is expected to persist   
   from southwest Texas into north-central Texas and   
   south-central/southeast Oklahoma throughout the morning.   
      
   DISCUSSION...Surface observations around the region currently place   
   the freezing line from Bonham (in Fannin County TX) southwestward   
   through northwest Tarrant County before diving more   
   south-southwestward through San Saba, TX. This orientation puts much   
   of the DFW Metroplex just above freezing, with some temperatures   
   actually increasing a degree or two amid light precipitation and   
   resultant wet bulbing. Even so, continued cold-air advection is   
   anticipated, with temperatures eventually dropping below freezing   
   later this morning. Those areas already below freezing will also see   
   temperatures continue to decrease throughout the morning.   
      
   Current regional radar imagery shows some banding across   
   north-central TX (northwest of the Metroplex), where strong 850mb   
   warm-air advection is ongoing. Correlation coefficient from KFWS   
   suggests most of this is sleet. Additionally, a large area of light   
   precipitation continues to build upstream of the region amid modest   
   lift attendant to a subtle lead shortwave trough and continued   
   isentropic ascent. Expectation is for precipitation to continue   
   across this region for the next several hours, with sleet as the   
   prominent p-type across southwest/northwest TX and south-central OK.   
   Freezing rain will likely become more common across north-central TX   
   over the next hour or two, with another transition to sleet possible   
   later this morning as the surface continues to cool.   
      
   ..Mosier.. 01/24/2026   
      
   ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj=   
   g!5X1-Fi2gzsjfc_gJs1LKfFYthNRhI_fzmfzoRBwRYEztiPczj4slQgrcO3CrD9rg6eHhbVx9J=   
   ONi4uKGAWKBeC65JXc$  for graphic product...   
      
   ATTN...WFO...SHV...TSA...FWD...OUN...SJT...LUB...MAF...   
      
   LAT...LON   33530002 34539740 34689541 33419497 32439587 31120069   
               32130113 33530002=20   
      
      
   =3D =3D =3D   
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