TZUTC: 0000   
   MSGID: 168844.weather@1:2320/105 2ddc21b2   
   PID: Synchronet 3.21a-Linux master/123f2d28a Jul 12 2025 GCC 12.2.0   
   TID: SBBSecho 3.28-Linux master/123f2d28a Jul 12 2025 GCC 12.2.0   
   BBSID: CAPCITY2   
   CHRS: ASCII 1   
   FORMAT: flowed   
   ACUS11 KWNS 240526   
   SWOMCD   
   SPC MCD 240526=20   
   MSZ000-ARZ000-LAZ000-TXZ000-OKZ000-241030-   
      
   Mesoscale Discussion 0038   
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK   
   1126 PM CST Fri Jan 23 2026   
      
   Areas affected...The Texarkana Region into southern Arkansas and far   
   western Mississippi   
      
   Concerning...Freezing rain=20   
      
   Valid 240526Z - 241030Z   
      
   SUMMARY...Freezing rain rates are expected to increase across the   
   Texarkana region into southern Arkansas and far western Mississippi   
   through the overnight hours. Freezing rain rates between 0.05 to 0.1   
   inch/hour are possible.   
      
   DISCUSSION...Surface temperatures across southern AR into the   
   Texarkana region are now mostly below freezing despite a slight   
   abatement of near-surface cold air advection. Several ASOS/AWOS   
   stations, mPING reports, and web cams have been reporting   
   predominantly freezing rain with pockets of embedded sleet over the   
   past couple of hours. Looking upstream, a heavier precipitation band   
   is noted migrating eastward across north TX/southern OK attendant to   
   a focused zone of isentropic and frontogenetical ascent at around   
   850 mb. This uptick in low-level warm advection is noted in regional   
   VWPs as a steady enlargement of the 0-3 km hodograph, which supports   
   recent analyses and forecasts.=20   
      
   Further strengthening of warm advection/frontogenetical ascent at   
   around the 850 mb level is expected per recent guidance as the   
   precipitation band spreads east into southern AR over the next 4-6   
   hours. Strong ascent combined with persistent warm temperatures at   
   around 700 mb will maintain a broad swath of freezing rain across   
   the Texarkana region into southern AR, and will likely promote the   
   onset of freezing rain to far western MS. Freezing rain rates on the   
   order of 0.05 inch/hour appear likely, but localized rates up to 0.1   
   inch/hour appear possible across southwest/south-central AR where   
   CAM consensus for the past few hours has depicted the highest QPF   
   amounts (which appear reasonable based on observed banding   
   upstream).   
      
   ..Moore.. 01/24/2026   
      
   ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj=   
   g!7HeiqMhg4hdOCQfYyOUixTQVvyMpQ8z7voSpiQ4aFt5VHuRfZ_PKQoAmiL_zvt8nV1BWkXWHZ=   
   5PDj8rsCeztRBQQ9UM$  for graphic product...   
      
   ATTN...WFO...MEG...JAN...LZK...SHV...TSA...FWD...   
      
   LAT...LON   32889136 32999414 33229473 33589517 33919537 34229537   
               34489517 34579469 34619391 34609290 34609163 34559112   
               34399070 34179042 33959036 33219058 32999086 32889136=20   
      
      
   =3D =3D =3D   
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   --- SBBSecho 3.28-Linux   
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