TZUTC: 0000   
   MSGID: 168843.weather@1:2320/105 2ddc211c   
   PID: Synchronet 3.21a-Linux master/123f2d28a Jul 12 2025 GCC 12.2.0   
   TID: SBBSecho 3.28-Linux master/123f2d28a Jul 12 2025 GCC 12.2.0   
   BBSID: CAPCITY2   
   CHRS: ASCII 1   
   FORMAT: flowed   
   ACUS01 KWNS 240524   
   SWODY1   
   SPC AC 240522   
      
   Day 1 Convective Outlook   
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK   
   1122 PM CST Fri Jan 23 2026   
      
   Valid 241200Z - 251200Z   
      
   ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...   
      
   ...SUMMARY...   
   Severe thunderstorms are not forecast today.   
      
   ...Northwest/North Central Gulf Coast...   
      
   Late-evening water-vapor imagery depicts a well-defined upper low   
   off the Baja Peninsula. This feature is forecast to eject across the   
   central Baja around mid day as a 500mb speed max rounds the base of   
   the trough, then ejects into northeast Mexico by 25/06z. In response   
   to this speed max, a weak surface low should develop along the polar   
   front over the northwest Gulf basin, then lift northeast across   
   southeast LA into southern MS late in the period. Latest model   
   guidance suggests modified Gulf air mass will return to the northern   
   Gulf coast ahead of this weak surface low, but forecast soundings   
   depict a boundary layer that most likely will not recover adequately   
   for surface-based convection. While MUCAPE will increase ahead of   
   the front, any thunderstorms that form will likely be at least   
   slightly elevated in nature.   
      
   Early in the period there is some concern for a few robust   
   thunderstorms near the TX Gulf coast. However, polar front will   
   surge offshore near the start of the day1 and the primary concern   
   for organized storms will be quickly shunted southeast off the   
   coast. At this time the probability for severe thunderstorms appears   
   too low to warrant a MRGL Risk.   
      
   ..Darrow/Thornton.. 01/24/2026   
      
   $$   
      
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