TZUTC: 0000   
   MSGID: 168830.weather@1:2320/105 2ddb977e   
   PID: Synchronet 3.21a-Linux master/123f2d28a Jul 12 2025 GCC 12.2.0   
   TID: SBBSecho 3.28-Linux master/123f2d28a Jul 12 2025 GCC 12.2.0   
   BBSID: CAPCITY2   
   CHRS: ASCII 1   
   FORMAT: flowed   
   ACUS01 KWNS 231937   
   SWODY1   
   SPC AC 231935   
      
   Day 1 Convective Outlook   
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK   
   0135 PM CST Fri Jan 23 2026   
      
   Valid 232000Z - 241200Z   
      
   ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...   
      
   ...SUMMARY...   
   Scattered weak thunderstorm activity is likely today into tonight   
   across the Texas Big Bend region into central Texas.   
      
   ...20Z Update...   
   No changes to the ongoing forecast are needed. See the previous   
   discussion for additional details.   
      
   ..Wendt.. 01/23/2026   
      
   .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0958 AM CST Fri Jan 23 2026/   
      
   A large upper trough will deepen over the Rockies and High Plains   
   this evening, with large-scale forcing for ascent spreading across   
   much of TX/OK.  Forecast soundings in this area show sufficiently   
   steep mid-level lapse rates and MUCAPE > 0 to support occasional   
   thunderstorms.  This includes parts of western north TX and southern   
   OK where freezing p-types are anticipated.   
      
   Over south TX, the main cold front will be surging southward into a   
   moist air mass with dewpoints in the 60s.  Several model solutions   
   suggest the development of a few thunderstorms along the front -   
   mainly after dark.  While a brief tornado or strong wind gust cannot   
   be ruled out, rapid undercutting of the front is expected to limit   
   the overall severe threat so no probabilities have been added.   
      
   $$   
      
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