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   MSGID: 168805.weather@1:2320/105 2dda79c9   
   PID: Synchronet 3.21a-Linux master/123f2d28a Jul 12 2025 GCC 12.2.0   
   TID: SBBSecho 3.28-Linux master/123f2d28a Jul 12 2025 GCC 12.2.0   
   BBSID: CAPCITY2   
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   FORMAT: flowed   
   ACUS11 KWNS 222318   
   SWOMCD   
   SPC MCD 222317=20   
   NYZ000-230315-   
      
   Mesoscale Discussion 0033   
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK   
   0517 PM CST Thu Jan 22 2026   
      
   Areas affected...portions of Upstate New York   
      
   Concerning...Heavy snow=20   
      
   Valid 222317Z - 230315Z   
      
   SUMMARY...Heavy lake effect snow band to persist with potential for   
   rates 1-2"/hr through the evening.   
      
   DISCUSSION...A band of lake effect snow continues along and east of   
   Lake Ontario across portions of the Tug Hill Plateau. Heavy snow has   
   been reported within this band periodically through the afternoon in   
   Watertown and Fort Drum, with visibility <1/4 mi at times. This band   
   has also produced occasional lightning. Westerly surface flow is   
   providing optimal long fetch axis across Lake Ontario amid steep   
   lapse rates (7-8 C/km at 0-3 km). In addition, a mid-level trough   
   across Canada is shifting southward, with very cool air aloft and   
   forcing for ascent overspreading the region. Hi-res guidance   
   suggests that rates will increase through the evening, with   
   potential for 1-2"/hr rates. This band will likely persist through   
   the overnight, with some north/south shift possible.   
      
   ..Thornton.. 01/22/2026   
      
   ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj=   
   g!_Oyp2PHrGA1HlxoeTyRDHmK0B3jqTz5-0YHO2LR5nxL6exHEWN25SSge8jciQPe8RuxFbmB3h=   
   b_1CZ40we2oB5bLy88$  for graphic product...   
      
   ATTN...WFO...BTV...ALY...BUF...   
      
   LAT...LON   43747683 44177596 44337571 44407497 44327414 44047412   
               43767484 43587593 43667654 43747683=20   
      
      
   =3D =3D =3D   
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