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|    WEATHER    |    Messages from the national weather servi    |    41,475 messages    |
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|    Message 40,544 of 41,475    |
|    COD Weather Processor to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu    |
|    HVYRAIN: Excessive Rainfall Discussion    |
|    21 Jan 26 00:14:06    |
      TZUTC: 0000       MSGID: 168747.weather@1:2320/105 2dd7e382       PID: Synchronet 3.21a-Linux master/123f2d28a Jul 12 2025 GCC 12.2.0       TID: SBBSecho 3.28-Linux master/123f2d28a Jul 12 2025 GCC 12.2.0       BBSID: CAPCITY2       CHRS: ASCII 1       FORMAT: flowed       FOUS30 KWBC 210013       QPFERD              Excessive Rainfall Discussion       NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD       713 PM EST Tue Jan 20 2026              Day 1       Valid 01Z Wed Jan 21 2026 - 12Z Wed Jan 21 2026              The probability of rainfall exceeding flash flood guidance is less       than 5 percent.              Bann                     Day 2       Valid 12Z Wed Jan 21 2026 - 12Z Thu Jan 22 2026              South Florida...       The best signal for heavy rainfall this period focuses near an       inverted trough sharpening along the South Florida coast,       as precipitable water values rise to 1.5" and instability tries to       move ashore from the Gulf Stream. The 12z HREF/06z REFS advertise       0.5"+ an hour amounts right at the end of the period Thursday       morning, with a 40%+ chance of 2"+ somewhere between coastal       Broward and Martin Counties. At the moment, the threat of flash       flooding here appears too isolated and too marginal for a Marginal       Risk to be depicted.              The probability of rainfall exceeding flash flood guidance is less       than 5 percent.              Roth                     Day 3       Valid 12Z Thu Jan 22 2026 - 12Z Fri Jan 23 2026              South Florida...       The best signal remains near South Florida Thursday morning where       enough moisture and instability appear to exist for locally heavy       rain. The guidance appears to drift this activity northward as the       low- level flow veers; convection is not expected to sit in any       particular location for too long. At the moment, the threat of       flash flooding here appears too isolated/marginal for a Marginal       Risk to be depicted.              The probability of rainfall exceeding flash flood guidance is less       than 5 percent.              Roth              Day 1 threat area: https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.go=       v/qpf/94epoints.txt__;!!DZ3fjg!_VEMPHpYHq1hDTeqxTiT1VS0Z-OeGbFAiHpeGl6xJ9WJ=       QahQSSkbJewABXBpi2s4VLBne3YRX8g600npnJxlUGDi8R8$=20       Day 2 threat area: https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.go=       v/qpf/98epoints.txt__;!!DZ3fjg!_VEMPHpYHq1hDTeqxTiT1VS0Z-OeGbFAiHpeGl6xJ9WJ=       QahQSSkbJewABXBpi2s4VLBne3YRX8g600npnJxlopRBxvI$=20       Day 3 threat area: https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.go=       v/qpf/99epoints.txt__;!!DZ3fjg!_VEMPHpYHq1hDTeqxTiT1VS0Z-OeGbFAiHpeGl6xJ9WJ=       QahQSSkbJewABXBpi2s4VLBne3YRX8g600npnJxlJouVkrQ$=20              =3D =3D =3D       To unsubscribe from WX-STORM and you already have a login, go to       https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link. Otherwise email       Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-STORM.              --- SBBSecho 3.28-Linux        * Origin: Capitol City Online (1:2320/105)       SEEN-BY: 1/19 100 16/0 19/10 37 104/119 105/81 106/201 114/10 120/302       SEEN-BY: 123/130 128/187 129/14 142/104 153/757 7715 154/10 30 50       SEEN-BY: 154/110 700 203/0 218/700 840 220/10 20 90 221/1 6 360 226/18       SEEN-BY: 226/30 44 50 227/114 229/110 134 206 300 307 317 400 426       SEEN-BY: 229/428 470 664 700 705 240/5832 266/512 280/5003 291/111       SEEN-BY: 301/1 320/119 219 319 2119 322/757 762 326/101 335/364 341/66       SEEN-BY: 342/200 396/45 423/81 460/58 633/280 712/848 902/26 2320/0       SEEN-BY: 2320/105 304 3634/12 5020/400 5075/35       PATH: 2320/105 154/10 221/6 1 320/219 229/426           |
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