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   WEATHER      Messages from the national weather servi      41,475 messages   

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   Message 40,544 of 41,475   
   COD Weather Processor to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu   
   HVYRAIN: Excessive Rainfall Discussion   
   21 Jan 26 00:14:06   
   
   TZUTC: 0000   
   MSGID: 168747.weather@1:2320/105 2dd7e382   
   PID: Synchronet 3.21a-Linux master/123f2d28a Jul 12 2025 GCC 12.2.0   
   TID: SBBSecho 3.28-Linux master/123f2d28a Jul 12 2025 GCC 12.2.0   
   BBSID: CAPCITY2   
   CHRS: ASCII 1   
   FORMAT: flowed   
   FOUS30 KWBC 210013   
   QPFERD   
      
   Excessive Rainfall Discussion   
   NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD   
   713 PM EST Tue Jan 20 2026   
      
   Day 1   
   Valid 01Z Wed Jan 21 2026 - 12Z Wed Jan 21 2026   
      
   The probability of rainfall exceeding flash flood guidance is less   
   than 5 percent.   
      
   Bann   
      
      
   Day 2   
   Valid 12Z Wed Jan 21 2026 - 12Z Thu Jan 22 2026   
      
   South Florida...   
   The best signal for heavy rainfall this period focuses near an   
   inverted trough sharpening along the South Florida coast,   
   as precipitable water values rise to 1.5" and instability tries to   
   move ashore from the Gulf Stream. The 12z HREF/06z REFS advertise   
   0.5"+ an hour amounts right at the end of the period Thursday   
   morning, with a 40%+ chance of 2"+ somewhere between coastal   
   Broward and Martin Counties. At the moment, the threat of flash   
   flooding here appears too isolated and too marginal for a Marginal   
   Risk to be depicted.   
      
   The probability of rainfall exceeding flash flood guidance is less   
   than 5 percent.   
      
   Roth   
      
      
   Day 3   
   Valid 12Z Thu Jan 22 2026 - 12Z Fri Jan 23 2026   
      
   South Florida...   
   The best signal remains near South Florida Thursday morning where   
   enough moisture and instability appear to exist for locally heavy   
   rain. The guidance appears to drift this activity northward as the   
   low- level flow veers; convection is not expected to sit in any   
   particular location for too long. At the moment, the threat of   
   flash flooding here appears too isolated/marginal for a Marginal   
   Risk to be depicted.   
      
   The probability of rainfall exceeding flash flood guidance is less   
   than 5 percent.   
      
   Roth   
      
   Day 1 threat area: https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.go=   
   v/qpf/94epoints.txt__;!!DZ3fjg!_VEMPHpYHq1hDTeqxTiT1VS0Z-OeGbFAiHpeGl6xJ9WJ=   
   QahQSSkbJewABXBpi2s4VLBne3YRX8g600npnJxlUGDi8R8$=20   
   Day 2 threat area: https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.go=   
   v/qpf/98epoints.txt__;!!DZ3fjg!_VEMPHpYHq1hDTeqxTiT1VS0Z-OeGbFAiHpeGl6xJ9WJ=   
   QahQSSkbJewABXBpi2s4VLBne3YRX8g600npnJxlopRBxvI$=20   
   Day 3 threat area: https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.go=   
   v/qpf/99epoints.txt__;!!DZ3fjg!_VEMPHpYHq1hDTeqxTiT1VS0Z-OeGbFAiHpeGl6xJ9WJ=   
   QahQSSkbJewABXBpi2s4VLBne3YRX8g600npnJxlJouVkrQ$=20   
      
   =3D =3D =3D   
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   --- SBBSecho 3.28-Linux   
    * Origin: Capitol City Online (1:2320/105)   
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