TZUTC: 0000   
   MSGID: 168635.weather@1:2320/105 2dd31783   
   PID: Synchronet 3.21a-Linux master/123f2d28a Jul 12 2025 GCC 12.2.0   
   TID: SBBSecho 3.28-Linux master/123f2d28a Jul 12 2025 GCC 12.2.0   
   BBSID: CAPCITY2   
   CHRS: ASCII 1   
   FORMAT: flowed   
   ACUS48 KWNS 170856   
   SWOD48   
   SPC AC 170855   
      
   Day 4-8 Convective Outlook   
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK   
   0255 AM CST Sat Jan 17 2026   
      
   Valid 201200Z - 251200Z   
      
   ...DISCUSSION...   
   Convective potential will remain low for most of the CONUS during   
   the Day 4-8 period as persistent troughing envelops much of the   
   country. However, a couple chances for thunderstorm activity may   
   develop from TX to the Lower MS Valley vicinity on Day 5/Wed and   
   possibly toward the end of the period heading into the weekend.   
   These chances will occur as modified Gulf moisture impinges on the   
   TX coastal vicinity on Wednesday as an upper trough moves across the   
   Plains toward the MS Valley. Moisture return, in response to a   
   developing low in the lee of the southern Rockies, will remain   
   shallow, but could be sufficient for isolated thunderstorms across   
   portions of southeast TX into LA Wednesday afternoon into early   
   Thursday morning.   
      
   Some guidance suggests a weak upper shortwave trough and enhanced   
   southwesterly flow could overspread the Gulf Basin during the   
   weekend, bringing some deeper boundary layer moisture into portions   
   of the western and central Gulf coast states. However, guidance   
   varies considerably and run-to-run consistency is poor.   
      
   ..Leitman.. 01/17/2026   
      
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