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   MSGID: 168578.weather@1:2320/105 2dd080a4   
   PID: Synchronet 3.21a-Linux master/123f2d28a Jul 12 2025 GCC 12.2.0   
   TID: SBBSecho 3.28-Linux master/123f2d28a Jul 12 2025 GCC 12.2.0   
   BBSID: CAPCITY2   
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   ACUS48 KWNS 150949   
   SWOD48   
   SPC AC 150947   
      
   Day 4-8 Convective Outlook   
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK   
   0347 AM CST Thu Jan 15 2026   
      
   Valid 181200Z - 231200Z   
      
   ...DISCUSSION...   
   Medium-range models continue to indicate that highly amplified   
   mid-level troughing will persist across much of North America (to   
   the east of the Rockies) and the Gulf Basin through this coming   
   weekend into early next week, when an initially prominent ridge near   
   the British Columbia/Pacific Northwest coast begins to weaken and   
   perhaps redevelop to the west/northwest.  Thereafter, sizable spread   
   remains evident within and among the various model output concerning   
   shorter wavelength developments and blocking within the larger-scale   
   split flow across the mid-latitude eastern Pacific, and the impacts   
   on the downstream flow remain unclear.   
      
   In general, it still appears that the Gulf Coast states and Gulf   
   Basin may come under the increasing influence of a strengthening   
   belt of westerlies emanating from the subtropical eastern Pacific,   
   and troughing may tend to dig within the mid-latitude westerlies   
   near and inland of the Pacific coast through mid to late next week.   
   However, even with guidance indicating potential for modest surface   
   cyclogenesis to the lee of the southern Rockies by the end of the   
   period, it does not appear that moist return flow off a modifying   
   Gulf boundary-layer will yet become supportive of appreciable inland   
   destabilization.   
      
   ..Kerr.. 01/15/2026   
      
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