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   WEATHER      Messages from the national weather servi      41,475 messages   

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   Message 40,368 of 41,475   
   COD Weather Processor to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu   
   DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook   
   15 Jan 26 05:45:14   
   
   TZUTC: 0000   
   MSGID: 168571.weather@1:2320/105 2dd0476e   
   PID: Synchronet 3.21a-Linux master/123f2d28a Jul 12 2025 GCC 12.2.0   
   TID: SBBSecho 3.28-Linux master/123f2d28a Jul 12 2025 GCC 12.2.0   
   BBSID: CAPCITY2   
   CHRS: ASCII 1   
   FORMAT: flowed   
   ACUS01 KWNS 150545   
   SWODY1   
   SPC AC 150543   
      
   Day 1 Convective Outlook   
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK   
   1143 PM CST Wed Jan 14 2026   
      
   Valid 151200Z - 161200Z   
      
   ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...   
      
   ...SUMMARY...   
   Thunderstorms are not forecast.   
      
   ...South Florida...   
      
   Midlevel short-wave trough is digging southeast across the northern   
   Gulf basin late this evening. As this feature digs toward the FL   
   Peninsula, strong cold front will surge to near the southern tip of   
   the Peninsula by 18z, then across the straights by late afternoon.   
   Latest radar data exhibits shallow convection across the eastern   
   Gulf basin, but minimal lighting has been noted with this activity.   
   HREF guidance suggests scattered convection will develop along the   
   boundary as it surges southeast, but forecast instability is not   
   particularly noteworthy, and lapse rates will remain poor. Earlier   
   thoughts regarding the prospect for thunderstorms continues. While a   
   flash of lightning can not be ruled out, most updrafts will remain   
   too weak/shallow to justify a 10 percent probability of thunder   
   during the day1 period.   
      
   ..Darrow/Lyons.. 01/15/2026   
      
   $$   
      
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   --- SBBSecho 3.28-Linux   
    * Origin: Capitol City Online (1:2320/105)   
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