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   PID: Synchronet 3.21a-Linux master/123f2d28a Jul 12 2025 GCC 12.2.0   
   TID: SBBSecho 3.28-Linux master/123f2d28a Jul 12 2025 GCC 12.2.0   
   BBSID: CAPCITY2   
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   ACUS01 KWNS 141946   
   SWODY1   
   SPC AC 141945   
      
   Day 1 Convective Outlook   
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK   
   0145 PM CST Wed Jan 14 2026   
      
   Valid 142000Z - 151200Z   
      
   ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...   
      
   ...SUMMARY...   
   Isolated thunderstorms are possible across the southwestern Florida   
   coast late in the period.   
      
   ...20z Update...   
      
   Only minor adjustments were made to remove thunder from the   
   southeastern Florida coast to account for recent trends. See   
   previous discussion below for more information.   
      
   ..Thornton.. 01/14/2026   
      
   .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1026 AM CST Wed Jan 14 2026/   
      
   ...Synopsis and Discussion...   
   Deep upper troughing extends over much central and eastern CONUS.   
   This troughing features two phased shortwave troughs, one moving   
   southeastward through the Upper Midwest and the other moving through   
   OK and AR. Both of these shortwaves are expected to continue   
   southeastward/eastward throughout the period as the parent upper   
   troughing also shifts gradually eastward. Upper ridging will persist   
   across the western CONUS, resulting in an amplified ridge/trough   
   pattern over the CONUS by early tomorrow.   
      
   Stable conditions are anticipated across the majority of the CONUS,   
   as the progression of the aforementioned shortwaves leads to a   
   reinforcing surge of dry, continental air. The only exception is   
   across south FL, where modest moisture (i.e. dewpoints in the upper   
   60s/low 70s) remain in place along the southeast coast. A few   
   thunderstorms are possible in this vicinity today, fostered by   
   limited buoyancy amid weak low-level convergence close to a weak   
   surface low. Additionally, low-level moisture and convergence are   
   forecast to increase as the southernmost shortwave trough mentioned   
   earlier progresses across the Gulf. Resulting increase in lift and   
   buoyancy could result in a few isolated thunderstorms along the   
   southwest FL Coast early tomorrow morning.   
      
   $$   
      
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