TZUTC: 0000   
   MSGID: 168448.weather@1:2320/105 2dca779f   
   PID: Synchronet 3.21a-Linux master/123f2d28a Jul 12 2025 GCC 12.2.0   
   TID: SBBSecho 3.28-Linux master/123f2d28a Jul 12 2025 GCC 12.2.0   
   BBSID: CAPCITY2   
   CHRS: ASCII 1   
   FORMAT: flowed   
   ACUS01 KWNS 101959   
   SWODY1   
   SPC AC 101957   
      
   Day 1 Convective Outlook   
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK   
   0157 PM CST Sat Jan 10 2026   
      
   Valid 102000Z - 111200Z   
      
   ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...   
      
   ...SUMMARY...   
   Severe storms are not expected through Sunday morning.   
      
   ...20Z Update...   
   Water vapor imagery shows the primary upper low within the Upper   
   Midwest. The strongest forcing for ascent should continue through   
   parts of the Ohio Valley and into the Mid-Atlantic/New England later   
   this evening into the overnight. Lightning activity has gradually   
   diminished in the Florida Panhandle/Southeast as convection has   
   encountered less buoyant air and mid-level ascent lifts northward.   
   This, coupled with weak low-level flow sampled by the KEVX/KTLH   
   VADs, suggests the threat for severe weather has diminished. Severe   
   probabilities have been removed with this update.   
      
   ..Wendt.. 01/10/2026   
      
   .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1022 AM CST Sat Jan 10 2026/   
      
   ...MS/AL/GA/FL Panhandle...   
   Radar mosaic late this morning shows an extensive convective band   
   from the SC/GA/NC border southwestward to the MS coast.  The airmass   
   immediately ahead of the squall line is seasonably moist with   
   dewpoints ranging from near 70 deg F along the coast to the lower   
   60s in northeast GA.  Relatively weak lapse rates and meager   
   buoyancy were sampled by the 12 UTC FFC (Atlanta, GA) raob.   
   However, the more north-south segments of the squall line are more   
   favorably oriented to strong southwesterly mean flow fields across   
   the region.  As a result, the risk for damaging gusts and perhaps a   
   brief tornado or two will continue through the early afternoon near   
   the AL-GA border.  A lower perceived risk for severe likely exists   
   farther northeast into northern GA/Upstate SC where buoyancy is   
   weaker, and farther southwest into southern AL and the Gulf Coast   
   where the convective line is further displaced from stronger   
   forcing/low-level mass response.   
      
   A frontal segment pushing east across the OH Valley and Mid South   
   will consolidate with a front segment along the northwest Gulf   
   Coast, and sweep east across the much of the Southeast through   
   tonight and reach the FL Big Bend and Carolina coast by daybreak.   
      
   $$   
      
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   --- SBBSecho 3.28-Linux   
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