TZUTC: 0000   
   MSGID: 168400.weather@1:2320/105 2dc902ff   
   PID: Synchronet 3.21a-Linux master/123f2d28a Jul 12 2025 GCC 12.2.0   
   TID: SBBSecho 3.28-Linux master/123f2d28a Jul 12 2025 GCC 12.2.0   
   BBSID: CAPCITY2   
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   FORMAT: flowed   
   ACUS02 KWNS 091730   
   SWODY2   
   SPC AC 091728   
      
   Day 2 Convective Outlook   
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK   
   1128 AM CST Fri Jan 09 2026   
      
   Valid 101200Z - 111200Z   
      
   ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF   
   THE SOUTHEAST...   
      
   ...SUMMARY...   
   A few severe thunderstorms are forecast on Saturday across the   
   central Gulf Coast and Southeast.   
      
   ...Central Gulf Coast into the Southeast...   
   Along and south of an outflow-reinforced cold front extending across   
   central AL into southern MS, scattered thunderstorms will be ongoing   
   across the central Gulf Coast into the Southeast at the start of the   
   period. These storms will generally be focused along a 30-40-kt   
   southwesterly low-level jet and ahead of a northeastward-moving   
   frontal wave.   
      
   Despite modest buoyancy, ample boundary-layer moisture (middle/upper   
   60s dewpoints) and around 50 kt of effective shear will continue to   
   promote organized storm clusters, to include the potential for a   
   couple supercells. Damaging winds will be a concern, though enlarged   
   clockwise-curved low-level hodographs (upwards of 200-250 m2/s2   
   effective SRH) within the moist axis will yield some risk for a   
   couple tornadoes as well. The tornado risk will be largely dependent   
   on the degree of convective overturning in the warm sector. The   
   window of greatest severe risk appears to be from 12Z-18Z -- before   
   low-level flow veers ahead of the approaching front and departing   
   frontal wave. A SLGT risk was added for this corridor of heightened   
   severe potential.   
      
   Thunderstorms will generally spread northeastward across GA into the   
   Carolinas in tandem with the northeastward-advancing low-level jet   
   and frontal wave, where they will eventually outpace the   
   surface-based warm sector during the afternoon.   
      
   ..Weinman.. 01/09/2026   
      
   $$   
      
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