TZUTC: 0000   
   MSGID: 168392.weather@1:2320/105 2dc8c5c6   
   PID: Synchronet 3.21a-Linux master/123f2d28a Jul 12 2025 GCC 12.2.0   
   TID: SBBSecho 3.28-Linux master/123f2d28a Jul 12 2025 GCC 12.2.0   
   BBSID: CAPCITY2   
   CHRS: ASCII 1   
   FORMAT: flowed   
   ACUS11 KWNS 091309   
   SWOMCD   
   SPC MCD 091308=20   
   MSZ000-LAZ000-091515-   
      
   Mesoscale Discussion 0012   
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK   
   0708 AM CST Fri Jan 09 2026   
      
   Areas affected...parts  of southeastern Louisiana through portions   
   of southern and central Mississippi   
      
   Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely=20   
      
   Valid 091308Z - 091515Z   
      
   Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent   
      
   SUMMARY...Potential for an additional brief tornado and/or locally   
   damaging wind gusts is generally not expected to continue in the   
   near term.  However, trends will continue to be monitored.   
      
   DISCUSSION...A couple of intensifying near-surface cyclonic   
   circulations have been recently observed within scattered ongoing   
   thunderstorm development.  This appears to have coincided with   
   subtle surface warming and moistening sufficient to contribute to   
   weak boundary-layer based instability, based on forecast soundings   
   and the 12Z sounding from Jackson.  But, this also appears to be   
   occurring as low-level hodographs shrink and trend more linear, in   
   the wake of the initial short wave trough now accelerating northeast   
   of the middle Mississippi Valley.  As a result, potential for   
   further similar mesovortex intensification accompanied by the risk   
   for a brief tornado and/or damaging wind gusts seems likely to   
   diminish shortly, if it hasn't already.   
      
   ..Kerr/Hart.. 01/09/2026   
      
   ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj=   
   g!5QmdUi6lSkMqDv1a58XCOg6FYDfonnSrU9bheXo0SnRTloydzt_k6kcWDGJOGPcYnk89pAiUL=   
   tgyMzMwJCpfQi-jzDA$  for graphic product...   
      
   ATTN...WFO...MOB...MEG...JAN...LIX...   
      
   LAT...LON   33758928 33858826 32448857 30968940 30549056 30959106   
               31689024 32588979 33758928=20   
      
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 95 MPH   
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH   
      
      
   =3D =3D =3D   
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   --- SBBSecho 3.28-Linux   
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