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   ACUS02 KWNS 090642   
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   SPC AC 090640   
      
   Day 2 Convective Outlook   
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK   
   1240 AM CST Fri Jan 09 2026   
      
   Valid 101200Z - 111200Z   
      
   ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF   
   THE SOUTHEAST...CAROLINAS AND SOUTHERN VIRGINIA...   
      
   ...SUMMARY...   
   Isolated severe thunderstorms are possible on Saturday from the   
   Southeast into parts of the Carolinas and southern Virginia.   
      
   ...Southeast/Carolinas/Southern Virginia...   
   At the start of the period, a large-scale upper-level trough will be   
   located from the southern Plains to the Upper Midwest, with an   
   associated 80 to 100 knot mid-level jet over the mid-Mississippi and   
   lower Ohio Valleys. The southern edge of the stronger mid-level flow   
   will be over the Southeast, where a moist airmass will be in place   
   Saturday morning. Within this airmass, low-level convergence ahead   
   of a cold front will contribute to the development of scattered to   
   numerous thunderstorms from the lower Mississippi Valley   
   northeastward into the southern Appalachians. Weak instability along   
   the moist axis along with moderate deep-layer shear, will likely be   
   sufficient for an isolated severe threat early in the day. This   
   threat is expected to develop into parts of the Carolinas and   
   southern Virginia by midday, as a low-level jet translates   
   northeastward. A brief tornado could occur near the low-level jet.   
   However, the primary threat should be wind damage with the stronger   
   short line segments. Lapse rates are forecast to remain poor, which   
   should keep any severe threat marginal.   
      
   ..Broyles.. 01/09/2026   
      
   $$   
      
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